Unknowns

What the model can't explain yet.

Every miss points to something the model has wrong or doesn't know: a link nobody has measured, a number it can only guess, studies that disagree. Each unknown comes with the evidence or experiment that would settle it.

The loop on one question

A worked example: a prediction that failed against a trial, the unknowns it exposed, and the experiments that would close them. You can run the experiments yourself.

Worked example · metabolic, liver, type 2 diabetes

Why does fat build up in the liver in type 2 diabetes?

2 failed predictions5 missing links5 numbers poorly pinned down3 studies that conflict
Explore the loop →

From forecasts

As sealed forecasts resolve, every confident miss will add unknowns here, grouped by disease and by what went wrong. See the trials we will forecast →