Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37118168›Full record

ArticleNature food2021

Extreme climate events increase risk of global food insecurity and adaptation needs.

Tomoko Hasegawa, Gen Sakurai, Shinichiro Fujimori, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Yasuaki Hijioka, Toshihiko Masui

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 80 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
80citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

80 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Fibrous foods system from lignocellulosic biomass.Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)) · 2026
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20 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Tomoko HasegawaRitsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan. thase@fc.ritsumei.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2456-5789
Gen SakuraiNational Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARO), Tsukuba, Japan.
Shinichiro FujimoriNational Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796
Kiyoshi TakahashiNational Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0163-545X
Yasuaki HijiokaNational Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan.
Toshihiko MasuiNational Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity and spatial extent of extreme climate events, and thus is a key concern for food production. However, food insecurity is usually analysed under a mean climate change state. Here we combine crop modelling and climate scenarios to estimate the effects of extreme climate events on future food insecurity. Relative to median-level climate change, we find that an additional 20-36% and 11-33% population may face hunger by 2050 under a once-per-100-yr extreme climate event under high and low emission scenarios, respectively. In some affected regions, such as South Asia, the amount of food required to offset such an effect is triple the region's current food reserves. Better-targeted food reserves and other adaptation measures could help fill the consumption gap in the face of extreme climate variability.

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.