ArticleNature food2021
Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models.
Article in Nature food, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 179 papers.
What it found
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Who cites it
179 citing papers in PubMed.
- Temporal phenotypic responses of early vegetative maize to heat, drought, and combined stresses.The Plant journal : for cell and molecular biology · 2026Article
- Climate-adapted variety selection and optimal planting density for improving maize yield in the Guanzhong region, China.Journal of the science of food and agriculture · 2026Article
- Refined crop modelling reveals intensifying impacts of droughts and heatwaves on global wheat productivity.Nature food · 2026Article
- Microbial volatile compounds enhance drought resilience and productivity in CAM and C3 crops.Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany) · 2026Article
- Interface of Climate and Environmental Change on Food Systems-A Report from the "Agriculture and Diet: Value Added for Nutrition, Translation, and Adaptation in a Global Ecology" (ADVANTAGE) Project Working Group 3.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2026Review
- Research opportunities to advance cardiovascular health through a planetary health lens.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026Review
- Specialized Metabolites in Cereal Crops Under Abiotic Stress: Regulatory Mechanisms, Functional Validation, and Breeding Implications.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Morphological, Physiological and Transcriptomic Changes in Response to Water Deficit Stress inInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Yield-graph: multi-stage growth-aware maize yield prediction via graph neural networks.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2026Article
- Article
- Effects of Different Maturity Groups on Photosynthetic Performance, Grain-Filling Dynamics, and Yield of Maize Under Film Mulching in a Cool Region.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Decoding stress resilience in soybean: Regulatory networks and precision breeding under climate change.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Review
- Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield.Science advances · 2026Article
- Modelling the Effects of Future Climate Conditions on Oil Palm Microbial Diseases and Poor Oil Palm Development, Compared to the Effects on Other Crops, Provides Possible Solutions.Microorganisms · 2026Article
- The Existence and Uniqueness of Solutions in the Leaf Photosynthesis-Transpiration-Stomatal Conductance Model for C3 Plants.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Spatially explicit temperature optima improve climate impact assessment of global crop productivity.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Multi-hazard exposure and vulnerability drive rising agricultural risk in global breadbasket regions.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Beyond temperature: Why climate adaptation in agriculture needs a systems approach.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Management practices and elevated atmospheric COScientific reports · 2026Article
- Ensemble Modeling Reveals Threats to Pollination Services From Asynchronous Range Shifts BetweenEcology and evolution · 2026Article
119 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
38 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Potential climate-related impacts on future crop yield are a major societal concern. Previous projections of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project's Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison based on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 identified substantial climate impacts on all major crops, but associated uncertainties were substantial. Here we report new twenty-first-century projections using ensembles of latest-generation crop and climate models. Results suggest markedly more pessimistic yield responses for maize, soybean and rice compared to the original ensemble. Mean end-of-century maize productivity is shifted from +5% to -6% (SSP126) and from +1% to -24% (SSP585)-explained by warmer climate projections and improved crop model sensitivities. In contrast, wheat shows stronger gains (+9% shifted to +18%, SSP585), linked to higher CO
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.