Trial reportJAMA cardiology2019

Occurence of First and Recurrent Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events With Liraglutide Treatment Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and High Risk of Cardiovascular Events: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

Subodh Verma, Stephen C Bain, John B Buse, Thomas Idorn, Søren Rasmussen, David D Ørsted, Michael A Nauck

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in JAMA cardiology, 2019. The graph read 2 numbers from its abstract, feeding 1 cell of the map, but it casts no vote: it is a later paper about NCT01179048, whose primary report (PMID 27295427) speaks for the trial. It reports registered trial NCT01179048. Cited by 29 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

2numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
4.5field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · against placebo · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.840.76 to 0.93
Liraglutide was associated with a 15.7% relative risk reduction in total MACE (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.93) and a 13.4% reduction in total expanded MACE (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.81-0.93) compared with placebo.
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · against placebo · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.870.81 to 0.93
Liraglutide was associated with a 15.7% relative risk reduction in total MACE (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.93) and a 13.4% reduction in total expanded MACE (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.81-0.93) compared with placebo.

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

GLP-1 receptor agonists×cardiovascular events

Does not voteOpen on the map →What to test next →

13 readable studies in this cell: 7 favour the treatment, 2 find no difference, 4 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 7 families support, 3 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
This paper’s trial, registry resultNCT01179048 · 9,341 enrolled · 2010
HR 0.870.78 to 0.97
NCT0399313226,774 enrolled · 2018
HR 1.010.91 to 1.11
NCT0357459717,604 enrolled · 2018
HR 0.800.72 to 0.89
NCT013949529,901 enrolled · 2011
HR 0.880.79 to 0.99
NCT039143269,651 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.860.77 to 0.96
NCT038191533,533 enrolled · 2019
HR 0.760.66 to 0.88
NCT017204463,297 enrolled · 2013
HR 0.740.58 to 0.95
NCT026927163,183 enrolled · 2017
HR 0.790.57 to 1.11
OR 1.951.28 to 3.00
NCT05564039282 enrolled · 2022
OR 20.48.40 to 49.8
4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01179048 phase3completed

A Long-term, Multi-centre, International, Randomised Double-blind, Placebo-controlled Trial to Determine Liraglutide Effects on Cardiovascular Events

Ran2010Enrolled9,341Registered outcomes6Posted comparisons20ConditionsDiabetes, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Armsliraglutide, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 56 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Review
  10. Article
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6 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Subodh VermaDivision of Cardiac Surgery, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute of St Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Stephen C BainDiabetes Research Unit Cymru, Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, United Kingdom.
John B BuseDepartment of Medicine, University of North Carolina School of Medicine at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill.
Thomas IdornNovo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark.
Søren RasmussenNovo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark.
David D ØrstedNovo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark.
Michael A NauckDiabetes Center Bochum-Hattingen, St Josef Hospital (Ruhr-Universität Bochum), Bochum, Germany.
Novo Nordisk (Denmark) · DKSt. Josef-Hospital · DESwansea University · GBUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

Importance: After the occurrence of nonfatal cardiovascular events, recurrent events are highly likely. Most cardiovascular outcomes trials analyze first events only; extending analyses to first and recurrent (total) events can provide clinically meaningful information. Objective: To investigate whether liraglutide is associated with reduced first and recurrent total major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) compared with placebo among patients with type 2 diabetes and high risk of cardiovascular events. Design, Setting, and Participants: This post hoc analysis of the Liraglutide Effect and Action in Diabetes: Evaluation of Cardiovascular Outcome Results (LEADER) randomized, double-blind, clinical trial included data from patients with type 2 diabetes who had established or were at high risk for cardiovascular disease at 410 sites in 32 countries from August 2010, to December 2015. Data analysis was performed from August 15, 2016, to July 5, 2019. Interventions: Patients were randomized 1:1 to receive liraglutide (up to 1.8 mg per day) or placebo, both with standard care, for 3.5 to 5.0 years. Main Outcomes and Measures: Assessed outcomes were MACE (cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke), expanded MACE (primary MACE plus coronary revascularization and hospitalization for heart failure or unstable angina pectoris), and the individual end points. Results: The 9340 LEADER trial participants (6003 [64.3%] male; mean [SD] age, 64.3 [7.2] years) experienced 1605 total MACE (1302 first and 303 recurrent events; median follow-up, 3.8 years [range, 0-5.2 years]). Patients who experienced any MACE were older (1 MACE: mean [SD] age, 65.6 [8.0] years; >1 MACE: 65.7 [7.9] years) and had diabetes for longer duration (1 MACE: mean [SD] duration, 13.4 [8.3] years; >1 MACE: 14.4 [8.7] years) compared with patients without MACE (mean [SD] age, 64.1 [7.1] years; mean [SD] duration, 12.7 [7.9] years). Fewer first and recurrent MACE occurred in the liraglutide group (n = 4668; 608 first and 127 recurrent events) than in the placebo group (n = 4672; 694 first and 176 recurrent events). Liraglutide was associated with a 15.7% relative risk reduction in total MACE (hazard ratio [HR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.76-0.93) and a 13.4% reduction in total expanded MACE (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.81-0.93) compared with placebo. For most individual cardiovascular end points, liraglutide was associated with lower risk vs placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest that liraglutide treatment is associated with reduced total MACE compared with placebo among patients with type 2 diabetes and high risk of cardiovascular events. This analysis supports the findings of an absolute benefit of liraglutide treatment with respect to the overall burden of cardiovascular events in this high-risk patient population. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01179048.

Indexed as

AgedAngina, UnstableDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Double-Blind MethodFemaleHeart FailureHospitalizationHumansHypoglycemic AgentsLiraglutideMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionMyocardial RevascularizationProportional Hazards ModelsRecurrenceHypoglycemic AgentsLiraglutide

Identifiers

PMID31721979
PMCPMC6865601
OpenAlexW2985057140

What OpenQuestion holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.