ArticleNature communications2017
Rapid emergence of climate change in environmental drivers of marine ecosystems.
Article in Nature communications, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
45 citing papers in PubMed.
- Interface of Climate and Environmental Change on Food Systems-A Report from the "Agriculture and Diet: Value Added for Nutrition, Translation, and Adaptation in a Global Ecology" (ADVANTAGE) Project Working Group 3.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2026Review
- Asymmetric basin-wide responses of coastal phytoplankton biomass to the Indian Ocean dipole.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Marine ecosystems in peril: Time to prepare for super El Niño.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Past subarctic marine food web shifts recovered by sedaDNA and network analysis.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Decision-making framework for response and management of environmental disasters (FRaMED).Environmental management · 2026Article
- Global Drivers of Phytoplankton Phenology Trends.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Quantified impacts of post-fire debris flows on the habitat, population, and recovery of the endangered black abalone.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Emergence time of COScientific reports · 2026Article
- Seagrass ecosystems in peril: Climate change threatens blue carbon storage and ecosystem services.iScience · 2025Article
- Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal mediterranean ecosystems.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Rapidly increasing cyanobacteria blooms in the subarctic Great Slave Lake: observations from Indigenous, local, and scientific knowledge.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Constraining the entire Earth system projections for more reliable climate change adaptation planning.Science advances · 2025Article
- Physiological health of wintering glaucous-winged gulls in coastal British Columbia.Conservation physiology · 2025Article
- Developmental plasticity of the cardiovascular system in oviparous vertebrates: effects of chronic hypoxia and interactive stressors in the context of climate change.The Journal of experimental biology · 2024Review
- Environmental stress reduces shark residency to coral reefs.Communications biology · 2024Article
- Cumulative human impacts on global marine fauna highlight risk to biological and functional diversity.PloS one · 2024Article
- Current status of carbon monoxide dehydrogenases (CODH) and their potential for electrochemical applications.Bioresources and bioprocessing · 2023Review
- Early detection of anthropogenic climate change signals in the ocean interior.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Biological sensitivities to high-resolution climate change projections in the California current marine ecosystem.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Projected climate change impact on a coastal sea-As significant as all current pressures combined.Global change biology · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change is expected to modify ecological responses in the ocean, with the potential for important effects on the ecosystem services provided to humankind. Here we address the question of how rapidly multiple drivers of marine ecosystem change develop in the future ocean. By analysing an ensemble of models we find that, within the next 15 years, the climate change-driven trends in multiple ecosystem drivers emerge from the background of natural variability in 55% of the ocean and propagate rapidly to encompass 86% of the ocean by 2050 under a 'business-as-usual' scenario. However, we also demonstrate that the exposure of marine ecosystems to climate change-induced stress can be drastically reduced via climate mitigation measures; with mitigation, the proportion of ocean susceptible to multiple drivers within the next 15 years is reduced to 34%. Mitigation slows the pace at which multiple drivers emerge, allowing an additional 20 years for adaptation in marine ecological and socio-economic systems alike.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.