ArticlePloS one2016
Changes in Dietary Fat Intake and Projections for Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in Sweden: A Simulation Study.
Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Identifying best modelling practices for tobacco control policy simulations: a systematic review and a novel quality assessment framework.Tobacco control · 2023Pooled it
- Identification of predictors for the comprehensive clinical risk and severity of coronary lesions of acute coronary syndrome.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2023Article
- Secular trends in serum lipid profiles in young adults in Norway, 2001-19.Atherosclerosis plus · 2022Article
- Associations of Antioxidant Enzymes with the Concentration of Fatty Acids in the Blood of Men with Coronary Artery Atherosclerosis.Journal of personalized medicine · 2021Article
- Twenty-Year Trajectory-Patterns of Percentage Energy From Dietary Fat vs. Carbohydrate Throughout Adult Life and Associations With Cardio-Metabolic Disease and All-Cause Mortality.Frontiers in nutrition · 2021Article
- From carbohydrates to fat: Trends in food intake among Swedish nutrition students from 2002 to 2017.PloS one · 2020Article
- The ratio of total cholesterol to high density lipoprotein cholesterol and myocardial infarction in Women's health in the Lund area (WHILA): a 17-year follow-up cohort study.BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2019Article
- Allelic Variation in Taste Genes Is Associated with Taste and Diet Preferences and Dental Caries.Nutrients · 2019Article
- Substituting polyunsaturated fat for saturated fat: A health impact assessment of a fat tax in seven European countries.PloS one · 2019Article
- The relationship of saturated fats and coronary heart disease: fa(c)t or fiction? A commentary.Therapeutic advances in cardiovascular disease · 2018Article
- Longitudinal 10-year changes in dietary intake and associations with cardio-metabolic risk factors in the Northern Sweden Health and Disease Study.Nutrition journal · 2017Article
- Meat consumption reduction in Italian regions: Health co-benefits and decreases in GHG emissions.PloS one · 2017Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveIn Sweden, previous favourable trends in blood cholesterol levels have recently levelled off or even increased in some age groups since 2003, potentially reflecting changing fashions and attitudes towards dietary saturated fatty acids (SFA). We aimed to examine the potential effect of different SFA intake on future coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality in 2025.
methodsWe compared the effect on future CHD mortality of two different scenarios for fat intake a) daily SFA intake decreasing to 10 energy percent (E%), and b) daily SFA intake rising to 20 E%. We assumed that there would be moderate improvements in smoking (5%), salt intake (1g/day) and physical inactivity (5% decrease) to continue recent, positive trends.
resultsIn the baseline scenario which assumed that recent mortality declines continue, approximately 5,975 CHD deaths might occur in year 2025. Anticipated improvements in smoking, dietary salt intake and physical activity, would result in some 380 (-6.4%) fewer deaths (235 in men and 145 in women). In combination with a mean SFA daily intake of 10 E%, a total of 810 (-14%) fewer deaths would occur in 2025 (535 in men and 275 in women). If the overall consumption of SFA rose to 20 E%, the expected mortality decline would be wiped out and approximately 20 (0.3%) additional deaths might occur.
conclusionCHD mortality may increase as a result of unfavourable trends in diets rich in saturated fats resulting in increases in blood cholesterol levels. These could cancel out the favourable trends in salt intake, smoking and physical activity.
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