Evidence map›Paper›PMID 19883143›Full record

ReviewPsychological bulletin2009

How numeracy influences risk comprehension and medical decision making.

Valerie F Reyna, Wendy L Nelson, Paul K Han, Nathan F Dieckmann

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Psychological bulletin, 2009. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 386 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
386citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
88.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

386 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,152 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Taxonomies for synthesizing the evidence on communicating numbers in health: Goals, format, and structure.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Developing and Validating Measures of Absolute and Relative E-Cigarette Product Risk Perceptions: Single Items Can Be Surprisingly Comprehensive.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2022
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Trial
  8. Trial
  9. When Does the Incremental Risk Format Aid Informed Medical Decisions? The Role of Learning, Feedback, and Number of Treatment Options.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2020
    Trial
  10. The Effect of Including Quantitative Information on Multiple Endpoints in Direct-to-Consumer Prescription Drug Television Advertisements.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2019
    Trial
  11. How does information on the harms and benefits of cervical cancer screening alter the intention to be screened?: a randomized survey of Norwegian women.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2019
    Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Trial
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  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Development and Validation of a Patient-Centered Scale to Evaluate Decision Aid Usability and Information Overload.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2026
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

326 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Valerie F ReynaDepartment of Human Development, Cornell University, B44 Martha Van Rensselaer Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA. vr53@cornell.edu
Wendy L Nelson
Paul K Han
Nathan F Dieckmann
National Cancer Institute · USCornell University · USDecision Research · US

Funding

Interventions for Risk Reduction and Avoidance in YouthR01MH061211 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS ARLINGTON · PI REYNA, VALERIE FRANCES · 2001 to 2006
$2.3M
Better Decisions, Better Care: Theories of Medical Decision Making and HealthR13CA126359 · NCI · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI REYNA, VALERIE FRANCES · 2006 to 2006
$49k
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 HG999999NCI NIH HHS R13 CA126359NCI NIH HHS R13CA126359NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH061211NIMH NIH HHS R01-MH-061211
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We review the growing literature on health numeracy, the ability to understand and use numerical information, and its relation to cognition, health behaviors, and medical outcomes. Despite the surfeit of health information from commercial and noncommercial sources, national and international surveys show that many people lack basic numerical skills that are essential to maintain their health and make informed medical decisions. Low numeracy distorts perceptions of risks and benefits of screening, reduces medication compliance, impedes access to treatments, impairs risk communication (limiting prevention efforts among the most vulnerable), and, based on the scant research conducted on outcomes, appears to adversely affect medical outcomes. Low numeracy is also associated with greater susceptibility to extraneous factors (i.e., factors that do not change the objective numerical information). That is, low numeracy increases susceptibility to effects of mood or how information is presented (e.g., as frequencies vs. percentages) and to biases in judgment and decision making (e.g., framing and ratio bias effects). Much of this research is not grounded in empirically supported theories of numeracy or mathematical cognition, which are crucial for designing evidence-based policies and interventions that are effective in reducing risk and improving medical decision making. To address this gap, we outline four theoretical approaches (psychophysical, computational, standard dual-process, and fuzzy trace theory), review their implications for numeracy, and point to avenues for future research.

Indexed as

ComprehensionDecision MakingHealth BehaviorModels, TheoreticalProbability LearningProblem SolvingRisk-TakingFuzzy LogicHumansIndividualityJudgmentVulnerable Populations

Identifiers

PMID19883143
PMCPMC2844786
OpenAlexW2132183026

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.