Evidence map›Paper›PMID 9435304›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of clinical investigation1998

Prediction of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus in siblings of children with diabetes. A population-based study. The Childhood Diabetes in Finland Study Group.

P Kulmala, K Savola, J S Petersen, P Vähäsalo, J Karjalainen, T Löppönen, T Dyrberg, H K Akerblom, M Knip

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of clinical investigation, 1998. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 73 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
73citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

73 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 288 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Established and emerging biomarkers for the prediction of type 1 diabetes: a systematic review.Translational research : the journal of laboratory and clinical medicine · 2014
    Pooled it
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  10. Autoantibodies to Zinc Transporter 8 andJournal of diabetes research · 2022
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  16. Review
  17. Staging the progression to type 1 diabetes with prediagnostic markers.Current opinion in endocrinology, diabetes, and obesity · 2016
    Review
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Article

13 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

P KulmalaDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Oulu, FIN-90220 Oulu, Finland.
K Savola
J S Petersen
P Vähäsalo
J Karjalainen
T Löppönen
T Dyrberg
H K Akerblom
M Knip
University of Oulu · FI

Funding

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF IDDM AND ITS DETERMINANTS IN FINLANDR01DK037957 · NIDDK · NATIONAL PUBLIC HEALTH INSTITUTE · PI TUOMILEHTO, JAAKKO O · 1987 to 1997
–
NIDDK NIH HHS DK 37957
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An unselected population of 755 siblings of children with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) was studied to evaluate the predictive characteristics of islet cell antibodies (ICA), antibodies to the IA-2 protein (IA-2A), antibodies to the 65-kD isoform of glutamic acid decarboxylase (GADA), insulin autoantibodies (IAA), and combinations of these markers. We also evaluated whether the histochemical ICA test could be replaced by the combined detection of other markers. 32 siblings progressed to IDDM within 7.7 yr of the initial sample taken at or close to the diagnosis of the index case (median follow-up, 9.1 yr). The positive predictive values of ICA, IA-2A, GADA, and IAA were 43, 55, 42, and 29%, and their sensitivities 81, 69, 69, and 25%, respectively. In contrast to the other three antibody specificities, GADA levels were not related to the risk for IDDM. The risk for IDDM in siblings with four, three, two, one, or no antibodies was 40, 70, 25, 2, and 0.8%, respectively. Combined screening for IA-2A and GADA identified 70% of all ICA-positive siblings, and all of the ICA-positive progressors were also positive for at least one of the three other markers. The sensitivity of the combined analysis of IA-2A and GADA was 81%, and the positive predictive value was 41%. In conclusion, combined screening for IA-2A and GADA may replace the ICA assay, giving comparable sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value. Accurate assessment of the risk for IDDM in siblings is complicated, as not even all those with four antibody specificities contract the disease, and some with only one or no antibodies initially will progress to IDDM.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAntibody SpecificityAutoantibodiesAutoantigensChildChild, PreschoolDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1FemaleGlutamate DecarboxylaseHumansInfantInsulin AntibodiesMaleMembrane ProteinsProtein Tyrosine Phosphatase, Non-Receptor Type 1AutoantibodiesAutoantigensGlutamate DecarboxylaseInsulin Antibodiesislet cell antibodyMembrane ProteinsProtein Tyrosine Phosphatase, Non-Receptor Type 1Protein Tyrosine PhosphatasesPTPRN protein, humanReceptor-Like Protein Tyrosine Phosphatases, Class 8

Identifiers

PMID9435304
PMCPMC508571
OpenAlexW2092377833

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.