ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America1997
Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 1997. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 100 papers.
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Who cites it
100 citing papers in PubMed.
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- Using Metaphors to Understand Suffering in COVID-19 Survivors: A Two Time-Point Observational Follow-Up Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
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- Are Recent Cohorts Getting Worse? Trends in US Adult Physiological Status, Mental Health, and Health Behaviors Across a Century of Birth Cohorts.American journal of epidemiology · 2021Article
- Socioeconomic disparity and the risk of contracting COVID-19 in South Korea: an NHIS-COVID-19 database cohort study.BMC public health · 2021Article
- How differential privacy will affect our understanding of health disparities in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- The influence of education on health: an empirical assessment of OECD countries for the period 1995-2015.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2020Article
- Sitagliptin and Fractures in Type 2 Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Propensity-Matching Study.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2018Article
- Healthy ageing, resilience and wellbeing.Epidemiology and psychiatric sciences · 2017Article
- Education and disability trends of older Americans, 2000-2014.Journal of public health (Oxford, England) · 2017Article
- Exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution in Relation to Progression in Physical Disability among Older Adults.Environmental health perspectives · 2016Article
- Expansion or compression of long-term care in Germany between 2001 and 2009? A small-area decomposition study based on administrative health data.Population health metrics · 2016Article
- The Economic Promise of Delayed Aging.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2015Review
- Longitudinal Mixed Membership Trajectory Models for Disability Survey Data.The annals of applied statistics · 2014Article
- Incidence of road traffic disabilities trending upwards in transitional China: a retrospective analysis from 1980 to 2005.BMJ open · 2014Article
- Psychosocial influences in onset and progression of late life disability.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2014Article
40 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Statistically significant declines in chronic disability prevalence rates were observed in the elderly United States population between the 1982 and 1989 National Long Term Care Surveys (NLTCS). The 1994 NLTCS was used to investigate whether disability rate declines continued to 1994. The 1982, 1984, 1989, and 1994 NLTCS employ the same sample design and instrumentation so that trends in disability can be estimated with minimal sampling and measurement bias. Age (5-year categories from 65 to >95)-specific rates were calculated for the 1982 NLTCS and applied to United States Census Bureau estimates of the 1994 population to calculate chronic disability prevalence rates adjusted for aging in the United States population aged > 65. The 1982 age standardized rates were compared with 1994 NLTCS estimates. The prevalence of disability estimated for 1994 (21.3%) was 3.6% lower than the 1982 age standardized rate (24.9%)-a highly significant reduction (t = -8.5; P << 0.0001). Of the 3.6 percentage point decline in prevalence, 1.7% occurred in the 5 years between 1989 and 1994-compared with the 1.9% decline in the 7 years between 1982 and 1989. Both declines are significant. Because of the shorter time period, the per year decline in disability prevalence from 1989 to 1994 was greater than that from 1982 to 1989. Given the higher acute and long-term care service needs of the disabled elderly population, Medicare, Medicaid, and private health expenditures may be dramatically lower than if declines had not occurred.
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