Trial reportBritish journal of cancer1994
The Edinburgh randomised trial of breast cancer screening: results after 10 years of follow-up.
Trial report in British journal of cancer, 1994. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 130 citations in OpenAlex.
- Extending the Age Range in Mammography Screening: A Benefit-Risk Assessment from a Radiation Protection Perspective.RoFo : Fortschritte auf dem Gebiete der Rontgenstrahlen und der Nuklearmedizin · 2026Pooled it
- Screening for breast cancer with mammography.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2013Pooled it
- Is mammography screening beneficial: An individual-based stochastic model for breast cancer incidence and mortality.PLoS computational biology · 2020Trial
- Contribution of clinical breast exam to cancer detection in women participating in a modern screening program.BMC women's health · 2021Article
- Personalized Screening for Breast Cancer: Rationale, Present Practices, and Future Directions.Annals of surgical oncology · 2021Review
- Breast cancer screening with mammography in women aged 40-49 years: Impact of length of screening interval on effectiveness of the program.Journal of medical screening · 2021Article
- Breast MRI screening for average-risk women: A monte carlo simulation cost-benefit analysis.Journal of magnetic resonance imaging : JMRI · 2019Article
- Impact of high-deductible insurance on adjuvant hormonal therapy use in breast cancer.Breast cancer research and treatment · 2018Article
- Mammography service screening and breast cancer mortality in New Zealand: a National Cohort Study 1999-2011.British journal of cancer · 2017Article
- Effect of population breast screening on breast cancer mortality up to 2005 in England and Wales: an individual-level cohort study.British journal of cancer · 2017Article
- Comparative benefit from small tumour size and adjuvant chemotherapy: clues for explaining breast cancer mortality decline.BMC cancer · 2014Article
- Cost-effectiveness of clinical breast assessment-based screening in rural Egypt.World journal of surgery · 2010Article
- CAD for mammography: the technique, results, current role and further developments.European radiology · 2006Review
- Overdiagnosis and overtreatment of breast cancer: overdiagnosis in randomised controlled trials of breast cancer screening.Breast cancer research : BCR · 2005Article
- Preventive health care, 2001 update: screening mammography among women aged 40-49 years at average risk of breast cancer.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2001Review
- A comparison of axillary node status between cancers detected at the prevalence and first incidence breast screening rounds.British journal of cancer · 1996Article
- Women doctors' use of hormone replacement therapy. High prevalence of use is not confined to doctors.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 1996Article
- Changes in incidence of and mortality from breast cancer in England and Wales since introduction of screening. United Kingdom Association of Cancer Registries.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 1995Article
- Screening for breast cancer. Maximise compliance as well as radiological sensitivity.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 1995Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The Edinburgh Randomised Trial of Breast Cancer Screening recruited 44,288 women aged 45-64 years into the initial cohort of the trial during 1978-81, and 10 years of follow-up is now complete. A total of 22,944 women were randomised into the study group and were offered screening for 7 years; the remaining women formed the control group. After 10 years, breast cancer mortality is 14-21% lower in the study group than in the controls depending on the precise definition of the end point. These differences are not statistically significant; for breast cancer as the underlying cause of death the relative risk is 0.82 (95% confidence interval 0.61-1.11). Rates of locally advanced and metastatic cancer were substantially lower in the study group, but screening has failed to achieve marked reductions in rates of small node-positive cancers. Those women who accepted the final invitation to screening have been monitored over the 3 year period prior to their first screen under the UK service screening programme. Interval cases, expressed as a proportion of the control incidence, increased from 12% in the first year to 67% in the third year. The reduction in breast cancer mortality for older women (aged at least 50 years) is the same as that for the total study group for this duration of follow-up. For analyses of breast cancer mortality in younger women updates recruited to the trial from 1982 to 1985 (10,383 women with 6-8 years' follow-up) have been included. The reduction in breast cancer mortality for women aged 45-49 years at entry was 22% (relative risk = 0.78, 95% confidence interval = 0.46-1.31).
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.