Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42919921›Full record

ArticleSocial psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology2026

Registered adolescent suicide mortality in Colombia, 2015-2024: a Bayesian spatiotemporal mapping study.

Francisco Ceballos-Espinoza, Pamela Acosta-Rodas, Ana María Chávez-Hernández, Vanessa López-Ambi

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Article in Social psychiatry and psychiatric epidemiology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Francisco Ceballos-EspinozaMental Health, Neuroscience and Forensic Psychology Research Group, Pontifical Catholic University of Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador. fgceballos@puce.edu.ec.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3025-3215
Pamela Acosta-RodasMental Health, Neuroscience and Forensic Psychology Research Group, Pontifical Catholic University of Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0096-2168
Ana María Chávez-HernándezDepartment of Psychology, University of Guanajuato, Guanajuato, Mexico.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3850-1348
Vanessa López-AmbiMental Health, Neuroscience and Forensic Psychology Research Group, Pontifical Catholic University of Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-8647-6526

Funding

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6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo describe temporal and geographic variation in registered adolescent suicide mortality in Colombia and its ecological association with multidimensional poverty.

methodsThis nationwide ecological study analyzed 4,234 presumed suicide deaths at ages 10-19 during 2015-2024 from the national forensic register (INMLCF). Bayesian Poisson models smoothed rates across neighboring departments and years. Aggregate rates combined four sex-age strata. Separate national vital-statistics (DANE) analyses compared suicide-coded deaths with two scenarios including undetermined intent.

resultsMale-to-female rate ratios (RRs) were 2.00 (95% credible interval [CrI] 1.86-2.15) at ages 15-19 and 1.05 (0.93-1.18) at ages 10-14. Total posterior rates were 4.54 (4.22-4.87) per 100,000 in 2015 and 5.23 (4.86-5.60) in 2024; no adjacent-year change had a 95% CrI excluding zero. Putumayo, Arauca and Amazonas exceeded 10 per 100,000 in 2024. Fifteen INMLCF departments had a probability > 0.95 of rates above the national comparator in all ten years. The pooled Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) RR per standard deviation was 0.84 (0.74-0.94). Including usable DANE undetermined-intent deaths increased the strict count by 22.18%; the expanded pooled MPI RR was 1.04 (0.93-1.17).

conclusionRegistered mortality varied by age, sex and department. MPI associations and geographic classifications depended on registration source and case definition. The findings do not establish protection from poverty and support strengthening adolescent surveillance and death classification.

Indexed as

AdolescentsBayesian disease mappingColombiaSocial epidemiologySpatial epidemiologySuicide mortality

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.