Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42910638›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2026

Outdoor extreme heat-related dementia risk and the role of socioeconomic disparities: evidence from 20 years of data on US older adults.

Eun Young Choi, Susanna M Mage, Jennifer A Ailshire

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Eun Young ChoiSchool of Social Work, Arizona State University, Phoenix, Arizona, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7587-6272
Susanna M MageLeonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5837-8351
Jennifer A AilshireLeonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4476-9458

Funding

Alzheimer's Association AARF-25-1473227National Institutes of Health National Institute on Aging P30AG017265National Institutes of Health National Institute on Aging R00AG090817National Institutes of Health National Institute on Aging T32AG000037
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionExtreme heat is increasingly recognized as a significant threat to brain health. However, human evidence from large, longitudinal studies remains limited. We examine whether outdoor heat exposure is associated with incident dementia and whether socioeconomic factors moderate this risk.

methodsLeveraging data from the 2000 to 2020 Health and Retirement Study (N = 28,512), we assigned census-tract-level 5-year exposure to the number of "Extreme Caution" (90°F to 102°F [32.2°C to 39.3°C]) and "Danger+" (≥103°F [39.4°C]) heat days, adjusting for moves. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models estimated dementia risk, treating death as a competing event.

resultsCompared with individuals with a low burden of "Danger+" heat (≤0.2 days/year), those with a moderate burden (0.4 to 1.8 days/year) and a high burden (≥7.2 days/year) had 14% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01 to 1.27) and 23% (95% CI = 1.08 to 1.40) higher risks of dementia onset, respectively. Stronger associations were found among individuals in areas with high socioeconomic disadvantage and low central air conditioning prevalence. No associations were found for "Extreme Caution" heat. DISCUSSION: Outdoor extreme heat may represent an important environmental risk factor for dementia, particularly among older adults living in areas characterized by structural barriers to mitigating exposure. Our findings suggest that dementia prevention efforts should consider local heat burden and prioritize strategies to reduce cumulative thermal stress. Greater attention should be directed toward identifying populations facing socioeconomic and infrastructural constraints that may benefit most from targeted heat-mitigation resources and support.

Indexed as

DementiaExtreme HeatHot TemperatureAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsSocioeconomic Disparities in HealthSocioeconomic FactorsUnited Statesdementiaextreme heathealth disparitiesheat vulnerability

Identifiers

PMID42910638
PMCPMC13688717

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.