Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42900385›Full record

ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2026

Modic changes, chronic low back pain, and lifestyle and mental health factors: a cross-sectional analysis of a cohort study.

Ulrike H Mitchell, Kassity D Clay, Mitchell McCauley, Matthew Wengreen, Claire L Samanna

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Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

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No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ulrike H MitchellDepartment of Exercise Sciences, Brigham Young University, Provo, USA. rike_mitchell@byu.edu.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2298-8756
Kassity D ClayDepartment of Exercise Sciences, Brigham Young University, Provo, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-1976-0530
Mitchell McCauleyDepartment of Exercise Sciences, Brigham Young University, Provo, USA.
Matthew WengreenDepartment of Exercise Sciences, Brigham Young University, Provo, USA.
Claire L SamannaEastern Health Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5035-7006

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeModic changes (MC) are vertebral endplate and adjacent bone marrow MRI findings that have been associated with chronic low back pain (CLBP), although their clinical relevance remains debated. This study examined whether MC presence and extent are associated with CLBP status, pain intensity, and disability, and whether lifestyle or mental health factors moderate the MC-pain relationship.

methodsThis exploratory cross-sectional sub-study included 239 adults: 135 with CLBP and 104 controls without. Lumbar MRI scans were evaluated for MC presence, type, craniocaudal extent of vertebral body involvement, and transverse extent of endplate involvement. Firth penalized logistic regression examined associations of MC presence, type and extent with CLBP status. Linear regression models examined associations between aggregated MC count and vertebral body and endplate extent with low back pain intensity and disability within CLBP and control groups. Moderation analyses tested whether sleep disturbance, physical activity, anxiety, depression, or pain catastrophizing modified the association between MC count and low back pain intensity among individuals with CLBP. All models were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and body mass index.

resultsAny MC were associated with higher odds of CLBP (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.45-4.30; p = 0.001), with similar associations for Type 1 and Type 2 MC. Greater vertebral body involvement showed a graded association with CLBP, with > 50% vertebral body involvement associated with the highest odds (OR 4.88, 95% CI 1.14-20.92; p = 0.033). Among individuals with CLBP, aggregated MC count (β = 0.30, 95% CI 0.05-0.55; p = 0.019) and vertebral body extent (β = 0.11, 95% CI 0.01-0.21; p = 0.039) were associated with higher pain intensity, but not disability. Endplate extent was not associated with pain or disability. None of the examined lifestyle or psychological factors significantly moderated the MC-pain association.

conclusionThis exploratory analysis revealed that MC, particularly those with greater vertebral body involvement, were associated with CLBP status and low back pain intensity. Lifestyle and psychological factors were related to pain severity but did not significantly modify the MC-pain relationship. These findings suggest that MC extent may be a clinically relevant imaging characteristic, although longitudinal studies are needed to clarify causality and prognostic significance.

Indexed as

Biopsychosocial modelMagnetic resonance imagingPain phenotypingVertebral marrow

Identifiers

PMID42900385

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.