ArticleNational science review2026
Fusing physics and AI enhances accuracy and diagnostic capabilities in air quality forecasting.
Article in National science review, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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17 authors.
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Abstract
Accurate air quality forecasts with diagnostic value are pivotal for emission-control policies and public health, yet chemical transport models (CTMs) are hampered by uncertainties in physicochemical parameterizations, whereas AI-only approaches sacrifice interpretability for predictive power. Here, we introduce ProNet, a coupled forecasting framework that embeds observation-constrained neural correctors directly into the governing equations of CTMs. Rather than treating AI as an external postprocessor or a process-replacing surrogate, ProNet integrates trainable networks into physical simulations to systematically reduce process-level uncertainties, suppress error propagation and maintain physical constraints of mass transport. Applied to 2022-23 data across 338 Chinese cities, ProNet consistently outperforms physical CTMs and AI-only baselines, and better generalizes to extreme events beyond the training data. It also surpasses forecaster-adjusted operational forecasts, which often improve upon raw CTM guidance in severe episodes, improving accuracy by 6.1% for PM
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