Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42897960›Full record

ArticleAnnals of medicine2026

Association between triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio index and incident thyroid nodules: a prospective cohort study.

Ling Deng, Yi Liu, Yaojia Zhou, Xiaoxia Zheng, Min Ren, Min Zhang, Yang Liu

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Article in Annals of medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

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7 authors.

Ling DengDepartment of Health Management & Institute of Health Management, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7467-0224
Yi LiuPhysical Examination Center, Yunyang County People's Hospital, Chongqing, China.
Yaojia ZhouAnimal Experimental Center of West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Xiaoxia ZhengDepartment of Health Management & Institute of Health Management, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.
Min RenDepartment of Geriatric Endocrinology, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.
Min ZhangDepartment of Geriatric Endocrinology, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.
Yang LiuDepartment of Geriatric Endocrinology, Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInsulin resistance is associated with thyroid nodule formation. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a widely recognized surrogate for insulin resistance, and its clinical value increases when integrated with adiposity indices. We tested whether an elevated triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio (TyG-WHtR) is independently associated with incident thyroid nodules.

methodsThis prospective cohort study recruited 65,347 participants between January and December 2021, with follow-up surveys conducted between January and December 2025. We examined associations of baseline and cumulative TyG-WHtR quartiles with thyroid nodule occurrence using multivariable binary logistic regression. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) models tested nonlinear trends in the association between thyroid nodules and TyG-WHtR. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to compare the area under the curve (AUC) across four metabolic metrics: baseline TyG, WHtR, TyG-WHtR, as well as cumulative TyG-WHtR, with thyroid nodule status as the outcome. We also conducted subgroup and sensitivity analyses, which collectively confirmed the robustness of our observed associations.

resultsDuring a mean follow-up of 4.08 ± 0.27 years, 4,029 participants (15.8%) were diagnosed with thyroid nodules by 2025. In fully adjusted models, the highest versus lowest quartile of baseline TyG-WHtR showed an OR of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.22-2.02), and cumulative TyG-WHtR yielded an OR of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.25-1.96). Each 1-SD increment in baseline and cumulative TyG-WHtR corresponded to ORs of 1.15 (1.05-1.26) and 1.17 (1.07-1.27), respectively. RCS analyses confirmed linear dose-response relationships for both (P for nonlinearity > 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that cumulative TyG-WHtR had the highest AUC (0.539) for thyroid nodules.

conclusionsTyG-WHtR is independently associated with thyroid nodule risk, with cumulative TyG-WHtR showing a stronger association than baseline TyG-WHtR. Maintaining favorable TyG and waist circumference levels over time may reduce thyroid nodule risk in this Chinese population.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseThyroid NoduleTriglyceridesWaist-Height RatioAdultFemaleHumansIncidenceInsulin ResistanceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveBlood GlucoseTriglyceridesinsulin resistanceprospective cohort studythyroid nodulesTriglyceride glucose-waist height ratio

Identifiers

PMID42897960
PMCPMC13686191

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