Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42883416›Full record

ArticleBiology2026

Predicting the Potential Suitable Distribution of Tomato Brown Rugose Fruit Virus in China Using a BIOMOD2 Ensemble Model.

Linfei Shou, Yuxi Wang, Yaqian Shang, Jiaqi Lu, Min Liu, Shuxing Zhou, Jianzhong Li, Jinming Zhang

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Linfei ShouZhejiang Provincial Plant Protection, Quarantine and Pesticide Management Station, Hangzhou 310020, China.
Yuxi WangState Key Laboratory for Quality and Safety of Agro-Products, Key Laboratory of Biotechnology in Plant Protection of MOA of China and Zhejiang Province, Institute of Plant Protection and Microbiology, Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310021, China.
Yaqian ShangCollege of Life and Environmental Sciences, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 311121, China.
Jiaqi LuZhejiang Provincial Plant Protection, Quarantine and Pesticide Management Station, Hangzhou 310020, China.
Min LiuState Key Laboratory for Quality and Safety of Agro-Products, Key Laboratory of Biotechnology in Plant Protection of MOA of China and Zhejiang Province, Institute of Plant Protection and Microbiology, Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310021, China.
Shuxing ZhouState Key Laboratory for Quality and Safety of Agro-Products, Key Laboratory of Biotechnology in Plant Protection of MOA of China and Zhejiang Province, Institute of Plant Protection and Microbiology, Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310021, China.
Jianzhong LiCentre of Agro-Technology and Extension of Qujiang, Quzhou 324002, China.
Jinming ZhangState Key Laboratory for Quality and Safety of Agro-Products, Key Laboratory of Biotechnology in Plant Protection of MOA of China and Zhejiang Province, Institute of Plant Protection and Microbiology, Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Hangzhou 310021, China.

Funding

Hangzhou Key Scientific Research Program 2025SZD1B01Key Investigation and Monitoring Project of Agricultural Alien Invasive Species of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the People's Republic of China 019250094Zhejiang Province "Sannong Jiufang" Science and Technology Collaboration Program 2025SNJF032
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tomato brown rugose fruit virus (ToBRFV) is an emerging tobamovirus that threatens tomato production and seedling trade. We used a BIOMOD2 ensemble to model present and future environmental suitability in China from 35 screened occurrence records, climatic predictors, and agricultural context data. Climate projections were based on BCC-CSM2-MR under SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585 for the 2050s and 2090s. The ensemble achieved calibration TSS = 0.831 and AUC/ROC = 0.958. Spatial-block evaluation was lower and more variable, so the calibration metrics do not demonstrate equally strong geographic transferability. Bio6 and bio15 were the leading predictors, followed by bio5 and bio13. At the primary AUCroc threshold of 0.441, the current suitable area was 44.35 × 10

Indexed as

BIOMOD2CMIP6greenhouse agriculturepotential suitable areaspecies distribution modeltomato brown rugose fruit virus

Identifiers

PMID42883416
PMCPMC13663426

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.