Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42875431›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Global vulnerability assessment of mobile telecommunications infrastructure to climate hazards using crowdsourced open data.

Edward J Oughton, Tom Russell, Jeongjin Oh, Sara Ballan, Jim W Hall

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Edward J OughtonGeography and Geoinformation Science, College of Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA. eoughton@gmu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2766-008X
Tom RussellEnvironmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0081-400X
Jeongjin OhWorld Bank, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-6384-1411
Sara BallanWorld Bank, Washington, DC, USA.
Jim W HallEnvironmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2024-9191

Funding

National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) 1852977
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is intensifying coastal flooding, riverine flooding and tropical cyclones, yet risks to telecommunications infrastructure remain poorly quantified despite growing societal dependence on digital connectivity. We present a global, event-based geospatial assessment of mobile cellular infrastructure vulnerability, combining open crowdsourced asset data with global climate hazard models under historical conditions and future scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. We analyse approximately 19.7 million mobile basestations globally, estimating exposure and direct damage across a range of event return periods. Under RCP8.5 in 2050, a 0.1% annual probability tropical cyclone event affects an estimated 3.7 million basestations, causing USD 44.7 billion in direct damage. Under RCP8.5 in 2080, equivalent coastal flooding affects 268,000 basestations, causing USD 6.44 billion in damage. Riverine flooding affects more assets globally, approximately 2.8 million, but damages remain broadly stable at USD 46-47 billion. Telecommunications infrastructure assets should therefore be systematically incorporated into climate risk assessments.

Identifiers

PMID42875431
PMCPMC13669328

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.