Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42873798›Full record

ArticlePloS one2026

Gamma-distributed transmission memory in a reaction-diffusion epidemic model with nonlinear incidence.

Martin Anokye, Luca Guerrini, John Amoah Mensah, Michael Fosu Ofori, Stefania Ragni

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Article in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Martin AnokyeDepartment of Mathematics, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana.
Luca GuerriniDepartment of Management, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Italy.
John Amoah MensahDepartment of Computer Science, Sunyani Technical University, Sunyani, Ghana.
Michael Fosu OforiDepartment of Statistical Sciences, Kumasi Technical University, Kumasi, Ghana.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4201-1993
Stefania RagniDepartment of Economics and Management, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We extend the delayed reaction-diffusion SI model with nonlinear incidence proposed by Song et al. by replacing the fixed transmission lag with weak and strong gamma-distributed memory kernels. Because the model has no exposed compartment, the memory term is interpreted phenomenologically as a distributed timing of transmission-related effects of past infectious states rather than as an explicit latent-stage mechanism. Using the same parameter set adopted by Song et al., we show that the distributed-memory models have a stability structure that is qualitatively different from that of the discrete-delay model. For the spatially homogeneous mode, both gamma kernels exhibit a small stabilising spectral Hopf crossing at a mean memory time near 0.08. The discrete-delay model has a comparable small stabilising crossing but, in addition, a much larger destabilising crossing near τ=1.335. Consequently, at the nominal values 1.2 and 1.6 used in the reference simulations, the gamma models converge to the selected endemic equilibrium, whereas the discrete-delay model crosses into an oscillatory regime. The first spatial mode is different: for the gamma formulations its modal constant term is negative for every positive memory rate, so this mode is unstable for every positive mean-memory value. We therefore interpret this behavior as a memory-independent spatial-mode instability, distinct from both a memory-induced Hopf crossing and a classical Turing instability.

Indexed as

EpidemicsNonlinear DynamicsComputer SimulationHumansIncidence

Identifiers

PMID42873798
PMCPMC13667834

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.