Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42873435›Full record

ArticleLa Radiologia medica2026

A two-stage model combining clinical and delta-radiomics features for prognosis in high-grade gliomas after chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective study.

Qiyuan Feng, Mingyuan Pan, Yu Lin, Feng Zhang, Chunxia Ni, Jiabing Liu, Jiajun Wang, Daoying Geng, Kang Wang, Yang Wang

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Article in La Radiologia medica, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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10 authors.

Qiyuan Feng *Huashan School of Medicine, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, 130 Dongan Road, Shanghai, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Mingyuan Pan *Radiation Oncology Center, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, 12 Wulumuqi Road (M), Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China.
Yu LinDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Road, Shanghai, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Feng ZhangDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, 180 Fenglin Road, Shanghai, 200032, Shanghai, China.
Chunxia NiDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Gamma Knife Hospital, 518 Wuzhong Road (E), Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China.
Jiabing LiuRadiation Oncology Center, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, 12 Wulumuqi Road (M), Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China.
Jiajun WangRadiation Oncology Center, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, 12 Wulumuqi Road (M), Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China.
Daoying GengInstitute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, Fudan University, 2005 Songhu Road, Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China.
Kang WangDigital Medical Research Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Fudan University, 130 Dongan Road, Shanghai, 200032, Shanghai, China. kangwang@fudan.edu.cn.
Yang WangRadiation Oncology Center, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, 12 Wulumuqi Road (M), Shanghai, 200040, Shanghai, China. wyang202304@163.com.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82503858Qidong-Fudan Innovative Institute of Medical Sciences KTB002Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality 24YF2704900
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aims to evaluate the efficacy of integrating pre-radiotherapy and mid-radiotherapy radiomics, temporal changes in tumor radiomics (delta radiomics) during chemoradiotherapy, and clinical variables into prognostic models for individualized overall survival (OS) prediction in patients with high-grade glioma (HGG).

methodsA total of 143 patients with HGG who underwent standard chemoradiotherapy were retrospectively enrolled from two centers. Patients were divided into a training cohort (n = 116), in which 5-fold cross-validation was performed, and an external test cohort (n = 27). Radiomics features were extracted from pre-radiotherapy and mid-radiotherapy MRI scans, and delta radiomic features were calculated as the differences between the two timepoints. Feature selection was performed using elastic-net-based stability selection, and radiomics scores (Rad-scores) were generated for each selected feature set using Cox models. Rad-scores were subsequently combined with clinical variables in a random survival forest (RSF) model for OS prediction. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to evaluate prognostic stratification.

resultsThe combined model integrating clinical variables and delta radiomics achieved a C-index of 0.818 and 0.761 in the validation and external test cohorts, respectively, outperforming models based solely on radiomics or clinical features. In the external test cohort, time-dependent discrimination yielded 12-, 18-, 24- and 30-month OS AUCs of 0.842, 0.856, 0.796, and 0.943, and Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significant risk stratification (p = 0.002).

conclusionThe findings of this retrospective study suggest that integrating multi-timepoint radiomics, delta radiomics features, and clinical variables may facilitate OS prediction in patients with HGG following standard chemoradiotherapy. While promising, the exploratory findings require further validation in larger prospective cohorts, given the limited size of the external validation cohort and the absence of MGMT promoter methylation status from the main model.

Indexed as

Delta-radiomicsHigh-grade gliomaMachine learningMRI radiomicsSurvival prediction

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