Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42871091›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2026

Preoperative risk stratification for postoperative inflammatory-nutritional deterioration after colorectal cancer surgery: an interpretable machine learning study.

Yinchao Zhang, Yingkun Hu, Xinke Cao, Xinquan Zan, Zhiqiang Tian, Wei Shen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yinchao Zhang *The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Yingkun Hu *The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Xinke CaoThe Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Xinquan ZanThe Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Zhiqiang TianThe Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Wei ShenThe Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi People's Hospital, Wuxi Medical Center, Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Postoperative inflammatory-nutritional deterioration may adversely affect recovery after colorectal cancer surgery. This study aimed to develop and internally validate an interpretable machine learning model for preoperative prediction of postoperative modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) = 2. Methods: This single-centre retrospective study included consecutive patients who underwent elective radical resection for colorectal cancer between 2020 and 2025. The cohort was divided into training and internal validation sets using stratified sampling. Recursive feature elimination identified eight predictors: age, prealbumin, albumin, cholinesterase, lymphocyte percentage, platelet count, fibrinogen and serum calcium. Eight conventional machine learning algorithms, TabICLv2 and SuperLearner ensembles were evaluated using discrimination, calibration and decision curve analyses. SHapley Additive exPlanations were used for model interpretation. Results: Among 1196 patients, 507 (42.4%) developed postoperative mGPS=2. In the internal validation cohort, TabICLv2 achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.753 (95% confidence interval, 0.701-0.804) and a Brier score of 0.197. SuperLearner-W and SuperLearner-SR showed comparable discrimination, with areas under the curve of 0.752 and 0.751, respectively. Lymphocyte percentage, platelet count and fibrinogen were the leading contributors to model predictions. Learning-curve analysis revealed suboptimal convergence behaviour, with relatively flat cross-validation trajectories and persistent separation from training performance across increasing training fractions. A web-based research prototype was developed to provide individualised risk estimates, patient-level feature attribution and an applicability-domain assessment indicating the level of support from the model-development data. Conclusion: An interpretable model based on routinely available preoperative variables provided moderate discrimination for postoperative inflammatory-nutritional deterioration after colorectal cancer surgery. The suboptimal learning-curve convergence indicates that the model is not suitable for clinical deployment without further development and independent external validation.

Indexed as

colorectal cancermachine learningmodified Glasgow prognostic scorepostoperative inflammationrisk predictionSHAP

Identifiers

PMID42871091
PMCPMC13658502

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.