Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42869910›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Current aviation roadmaps are not within planetary boundaries.

Bastien Païs, Alexandre Gondran, Lorie Hamelin, Florian Simatos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Bastien PaïsFédération ENAC ISAE-SUPAERO ONERA, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-9853-3205
Alexandre GondranFédération ENAC ISAE-SUPAERO ONERA, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France.
Lorie HamelinTBI, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, INRAE, INSA, Toulouse, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9092-1900
Florian SimatosFédération ENAC ISAE-SUPAERO ONERA, Université de Toulouse, Toulouse, France. florian.simatos@isae.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4665-6617

Funding

Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency) ANR-17-EURE-0005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aviation decarbonization roadmaps predominantly rely on replacing fossil kerosene with alternative jet fuels, yet the systemic impact of these alternatives on planetary boundaries other than climate change has not been quantified. Here we integrate prospective life-cycle inventories with the planetary boundaries framework to evaluate the absolute impacts of aviation roadmaps as time-dependent trajectories, rather than endpoint snapshots. Across scenarios to 2050, we find that fuel-switch-centered roadmaps do not achieve sustainability, persistently transgress the climate change and biosphere integrity core boundaries, and exert large demands for energy, land, freshwater and CO

Identifiers

PMID42869910
PMCPMC13662196

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.