Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42859952›Full record

ArticleBulletin of mathematical biology2026

A Likelihood-Based Framework for Simultaneously Learning Both Noise and Growth Dynamics Using Biologically-Informed Neural Networks.

Rebecca M Crossley, Ruth E Baker

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Bulletin of mathematical biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Rebecca M CrossleyMathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK. rebecca.crossley@maths.ox.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-7342-0207
Ruth E BakerMathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK.

Funding

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council EP/Z534870/1Simons Foundation MP-SIP-00001828
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent years, neural ordinary differential equation frameworks such as Biologically-Informed Neural Networks (BINNs) have shown promise for learning mechanistic laws from sparse data. However, most existing approaches implicitly assume homoscedastic Gaussian noise, and therefore do not account for potentially meaningful structure in biological variability. Here, we present an extension to the existing BINNs framework that includes a learnable noise model, allowing discovery of the noise model directly from data. Using population growth as an example, we demonstrate that the framework accurately recovers the underlying noise structure and improves predictions of the underlying growth laws compared to existing approaches. As such, this work establishes a general likelihood-based framework for jointly learning dynamics and heteroscedastic noise within mechanistic neural network approaches.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalNeural Networks, ComputerAnimalsComputer SimulationHumansLikelihood FunctionsMachine LearningMathematical ConceptsPopulation GrowthStochastic ProcessesBiologically-informed neural networksData-driven modellingDifferential equationsLikelihoodMachine learningStochastic effects

Identifiers

PMID42859952
PMCPMC13654870

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.