Articlenpj urban sustainability2026
Exposed yet unmapped: evidence of differential flood exposure in deprived urban areas using citizen science.
Article in npj urban sustainability, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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12 authors.
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Abstract
Rapid urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has intensified flood risks, disproportionately affecting deprived urban areas (DUAs). Yet, these areas remain systematically unmapped in existing assessments, particularly in data-scarce environments. This study is among the first to center DUAs within a comparative flood exposure assessment across SSA cities, while integrating a lightweight low-cost flood model, global remote sensing datasets and citizen science methods. We find that DUAs are up to 200% more exposed to flooding, with frequent shallow floods (up to 10 cm) causing significant, yet often overlooked, impacts. Of these, over 50% concern property damage, disease outbreaks and infrastructure failures. Surprisingly, secondary cities sometimes surpass primaries in absolute exposure. We also highlight the spatial biases from built-up surface datasets, in turn overestimating exposure in peri-urban areas and omitting dense DUAs. Our findings challenge conventional ways of assessing flood risk and emphasize that local knowledge is indispensable in fostering urban resilience.
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