Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42853532›Full record

ArticleAdvances in therapy2026

Estimating Long-Term Organ Damage Risk in Patients with Congenital Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic Purpura Receiving Recombinant ADAMTS13 Prophylaxis: A Structured Expert Elicitation Study.

Amie Padhiar, Colin Burke, Mathilde Puls, Annie Berkley, Oliver Heard, Harneet Kaur, Harold Wolff, Linda Murphy

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in therapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Amie PadhiarTakeda UK Ltd, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-4620-3580
Colin BurkeLumanity, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-4671-7600
Mathilde PulsLumanity, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-3831-6270
Annie BerkleyTakeda UK Ltd, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5211-6652
Oliver HeardTakeda UK Ltd, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-0087-3798
Harneet KaurTakeda Pharmaceuticals International AG, Thurgauerstrasse 130, Opfikon, 8152, Zurich, Switzerland. harneet.kaur1@takeda.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-8545-5873
Harold WolffLumanity, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3417-6955
Linda MurphyLumanity, Sheffield, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-0891-2234

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLongitudinal real-world data in congenital thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (cTTP) are scarce. Structured expert elicitation (SEE) was conducted to estimate the projected risk of long-term organ damage in children and adolescents and in adult patients with cTTP receiving recombinant ADAMTS13 (rADAMTS13) prophylaxis, without history of organ damage.

methodsSix UK clinicians with experience in managing cTTP provided individual judgments via an online SEE survey. The probability of developing ≥ 1 long-term organ damage outcomes, including major organ events such as stroke/transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, and chronic kidney disease, at predefined ages was estimated. Responses were collected using the quartile method and combined via linear opinion pooling.

resultsIn children and adolescents, median (95% credible interval) estimated cumulative long-term organ damage projected risks were 3.25% (1.09-20.26%) by age 15 years, 4.48% (0.86-16.11%) by 20 years, and 5.76% (0.96-19.20%) by 25 years. In adults, estimated risks were 4.85% (0.59-16.96%) by 45 years and 7.42% (1.47-29.29%) by 55 years.

conclusionExperts consistently projected lower long-term risks of organ damage with continuous rADAMTS13 prophylaxis, although these estimates remain hypothesis-generating. These expert-derived estimates provide structured insights into potential long-term outcomes associated with rADAMTS13 prophylaxis, which can inform future research, health technology assessments, and evidence-generation efforts in cTTP. Prospective empirical studies are required to confirm the findings. Graphical Abstract available for this article.

Indexed as

ADAMTS13 proteinAdolescentAdultChildSurveyThrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura, complications

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.