Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42851481›Full record

ArticleNature geoscience2026

Disconnection of the late Pliocene Agulhas Leakage from Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.

Suning Hou, Alejandra Cartagena-Sierra, Ning Tan, Carolien M H van der Weijst, Malte Stockhausen, Fenghao Liu, Melissa A Berke, Isla S Castañeda, Aidan Starr, Francien Peterse and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature geoscience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Suning HouDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8902-6367
Alejandra Cartagena-SierraDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN USA.
Ning TanState Key Laboratory of Lithospheric and Environmental Coevolution, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6495-4127
Carolien M H van der WeijstDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Malte StockhausenDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Fenghao LiuState Key Laboratory of Marine Geology, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9122-6512
Melissa A BerkeDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4810-3773
Isla S CastañedaDepartment of Earth, Geographic and Climate Sciences, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2524-9326
Aidan StarrDepartment of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Francien PeterseDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8781-2826
Francesca SangiorgiDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4233-6154
Anna S von der HeydtInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5557-3282
Appy SluijsDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2382-0215
Peter K BijlDepartment of Earth Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1710-4012

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), in terms of streamfunction, is considered to depend partly on salt supply from the Indian Ocean through Agulhas Leakage (AL). In turn, AL is regulated by the position of the Southern Ocean subtropical front, which creates the pathway of the leaking around the African continent. Here, to evaluate the links between the subtropical front, AL and AMOC, we present latitudinal shifts of the subtropical front, and thereby potential AL changes, using dinoflagellate cysts and biomarkers in sediment cores from the Agulhas Plateau covering the late Pliocene (3,600-2,580 thousand years ago (ka)). We subsequently compare our frontal migration and AL reconstruction with ocean surface and bottom records along the AMOC pathway, and climate model simulations, to evaluate the influence of the AL on the AMOC. We find that the northward migration of the subtropical front gradually reduced the volume and salt supply of AL from 3,600 ka to 3,300 ka, whereas the AMOC intensified. We conclude that the causal link between the AL and AMOC was disconnected during the late Pliocene, challenging the presumed role of the AL in modulating the AMOC.

Indexed as

PalaeoceanographyPalaeoclimatePhysical oceanography

Identifiers

PMID42851481
PMCPMC13645622

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.