Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42851439›Full record

ArticleNature geoscience2026

Multilayer soil moisture depletion intensifies drought impacts on global ecosystems.

Xihui Gu, Ruijie Wang, Deliang Chen, Chiyuan Miao, Sijia Luo, Yansong Guan, Sixiang Wang, Liangwei Li, Tianshun Gu, Chuyu Luo and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature geoscience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Xihui GuHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7414-5371
Ruijie WangHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0009-0003-2345-9543
Deliang ChenDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Chiyuan MiaoState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Disaster Risk Reduction, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6413-7020
Sijia LuoHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Yansong GuanDepartment of Geography and Resource Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-0048-6253
Sixiang WangHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Liangwei LiHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0009-0001-2658-1080
Tianshun GuHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6359-8028
Chuyu LuoHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
Jianfeng LiDepartment of Geography and Resource Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID 0000-0002-9288-3415
Shengzhi HuangState Key Laboratory of Eco-Hydraulics in Northwest Arid Region of China, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7592-5268
Xueying LiSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0910-1954
Jiefeng WuCollege of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, China.
Xiang ZhangNational Engineering Research Center of Geographic Information System, School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1017-742X
Lunche WangHubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7783-5725

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When soil moisture across all layers of the entire profile is depleted, ecosystems face the highest risk because they lose all vertical buffering capacity against drought. However, these vertically compound soil moisture droughts, in which every soil layer suffers simultaneous water deficits, have been largely ignored because previous monitoring and risk assessments relied on entire-profile mean soil moisture. Here we identify vertically (0-100 cm) compound droughts worldwide during warm seasons of 1981-2020 using multilayer soil moisture products. Their annual duration and ratio have increased across more than half of global lands over the past four decades, with pronounced hotspots in southwestern North America, South America, Africa, mid-latitude Eurasia, southeastern Asia and Australia. Vertically compound droughts cause substantial declines in ecosystem productivity, particularly in forests and croplands, threatening carbon sink stability and food security. By contrast, diagnosing drought solely from entire-profile averages causes an overestimation of vertically compound drought duration by about 128.3% but an underestimation of associated ecosystem losses by about 27.8%. These projections and systematic biases highlight the urgency of developing multilayer monitoring, mitigation and adaptation strategies for vertically compound droughts.

Indexed as

Carbon cycleClimate changeHydrology

Identifiers

PMID42851439
PMCPMC13645670

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.