Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42842946›Full record

ReviewReviews in medical virology2026

Regional and Temporal Dynamics of Dengue in Mexico (2020-2024): A Comprehensive Epidemiological Analysis.

Blanca Taboada, Selene Zárate, Lorena Díaz-González, Juan Manuel Hurtado

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Reviews in medical virology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Blanca TaboadaDepartamento de Genética del Desarrollo y Fisiología Molecular, Instituto de Biotecnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
Selene ZáratePosgrado en Ciencias Genómicas, Universidad Autónoma de la Ciudad de México, Ciudad de México, Mexico.
Lorena Díaz-GonzálezCentro de Investigación en Ciencias, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos, Cuernavaca, Morelos, México.
Juan Manuel HurtadoUnidad de Computo, Instituto de Biotecnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.

Funding

CONAHCYT 302979SECIHTI CBF-2025-I-1026UACM CCYC-2023-IMP-08UNAM PAPIIT-IN225126
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue remains a major public health concern in Mexico, with incidence and clinical burden increasing substantially in recent years. Using national surveillance data from 2020 to 2024, this study provides a comprehensive overview of the changing epidemiological landscape, with an emphasis on geographic distribution, temporal trends, serotype dynamics, and disease severity. Over this period, Mexico saw an almost fivefold increase in dengue cases, reaching over 123,000 confirmed infections and 426 deaths in 2024, the highest annual number recorded. Seasonal patterns shifted, with sustained transmission extending into unusual winter months from late 2023. Serotyping data revealed a shift in predominant virus serotypes, with DENV2 predominating until 2022, DENV1 peaking in 2021, and DENV3 rising sharply from 2022 onward, becoming dominant in 2023 and almost exclusive by 2024. This shift coincided with a sustained rise in dengue with warning signs (from 16.9% in 2020 to > 42% in 2023-2024) and higher hospitalisation rates, while severe dengue remained below 5%. Although DENV3 dominated nationally, DENV1 and DENV2 persisted in specific states, and DENV4 circulated sporadically, particularly in southern and northern regions. Several traditionally low-prevalence states experienced atypical outbreaks, underscoring the potential for sudden epidemic expansion. Climatic analysis showed a consistent positive association between temperature and DENV3 prevalence, with precipitation effects varying by year. Odds ratio analysis suggested serotype-specific differences in severity across years. These findings underscore the heterogeneous and dynamic nature of dengue transmission in Mexico and highlight the need for regional surveillance, prevention, and clinical preparedness strategies.

Indexed as

DengueDengue VirusDisease OutbreaksHumansIncidenceMexicoPrevalenceSeasonsSerogroupSerotyping

Identifiers

PMID42842946
PMCPMC13645368

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.