Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42842181›Full record

ArticleAdvances in therapy2026

Retifanlimab Versus Avelumab for the Treatment of Metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma: A Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison Analysis.

Camilla Porta, Gianni Ghetti, Massimiliano Povero

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Advances in therapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02155647 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase II, Open-Label, Multicenter Trial to Investigate the Clinical Activity and Safety of Avelumab (MSB0010718C) in Subjects With Merkel Cell Carcinoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorEMD Serono Research & Development Institute, Inc.Ran2014 to 2023Enrolled204ConditionsCarcinoma, Merkel CellArmsAvelumab
NCT03599713 phase2completednot on this map

A Phase 2 Study of INCMGA00012 in Participants With Metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma (POD1UM-201)

TypeinterventionalSponsorIncyte CorporationRan2019 to 2024Enrolled107ConditionsMetastatic Merkel Cell CarcinomaArmsRetifanlimab
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Camilla PortaAdRes - Health Economics and Outcome Research, Via Cervino 75, 10155, Torino, TO, Italy. c.porta@adreshe.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8402-6934
Gianni GhettiAdRes - Health Economics and Outcome Research, Via Cervino 75, 10155, Torino, TO, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6809-5251
Massimiliano PoveroAdRes - Health Economics and Outcome Research, Via Cervino 75, 10155, Torino, TO, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0666-066X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMerkel cell carcinoma (MCC) is a rare and aggressive skin cancer with poor prognosis and low survival rate. Retifanlimab and avelumab are monoclonal immune checkpoint inhibitor antibodies approved for metastatic or recurrent locally advanced MCC. The objective of this study was to analyze clinical outcomes with retifanlimab versus avelumab using a matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC).

methodsIndividual patient data from the phase 2 POD1UM-201 trial (NCT03599713, data cutoff July 2024) were used for the retifanlimab treatment group, and aggregate data from part B of the phase 2 JAVELIN Merkel 200 trial (NCT02155647) were used for the avelumab treatment group. Key prognostic factors/effect modifiers identified from published literature (age, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, programmed cell death ligand 1 status, and disease characteristics) were selected for adjustment in the base case. Scenario analyses were also conducted, including additional covariates. An unanchored MAIC was conducted for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall response rate (ORR).

resultsAfter weighing characteristics, the effective sample size of the adjusted retifanlimab population was approximately 42 patients (47% of original sample size). In the base case analysis, weighted hazard ratio (95% CI) numerically favored retifanlimab versus avelumab for OS (0.800 [0.492, 1.303]) and was statistically significant for PFS (0.590 [0.396, 0.881]), with the latter driven by separation during the first 2 months of treatment. Weighted odds ratio numerically favored retifanlimab for ORR (1.871 [0.896, 3.908)]. Scenario analyses generally confirmed base case analyses.

conclusionResults of this MAIC generally favored retifanlimab compared with avelumab, including a statistically significant difference in PFS and numerical trends in OS and ORR, building on the clinical evidence supporting retifanlimab for the treatment of metastatic MCC. These findings are subject to residual confounding and should be interpreted with caution.

Indexed as

AvelumabMatching-adjusted indirect comparisonMerkel cell carcinomaRetifanlimab

Identifiers

PMID42842181

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.