Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42839970›Full record

ArticleNature climate change2026

Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change.

René M van Westen, Reyk Börner, Henk A Dijkstra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature climate change, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

René M van WestenDepartment of Physics, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8807-7269
Reyk BörnerDepartment of Physics, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4593-7721
Henk A DijkstraDepartment of Physics, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5817-7675

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a tipping element of the climate system, currently has an estimated global warming threshold for collapse of +4.0 °C (uncertainty range 1.4-8 °C). However, such a threshold may not be meaningful because AMOC stability depends on the rate of radiative forcing change, not a set temperature. Here we identify an AMOC stabilizing mechanism that operates on timescales slower than present-day warming rates. Slow forcing permits coherent adjustment of surface and interior ocean properties, supported by enhanced evaporation and reduced sea-ice extent, counteracting destabilizing feedbacks. Using a slow CO

Indexed as

AttributionClimate and Earth system modellingPhysical oceanographyProjection and prediction

Identifiers

PMID42839970
PMCPMC13638462

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.