Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42831032›Full record

ArticleObesity pillars2026

Evaluation of clinical relevance of weight nadirs and weight regain during 3 years of treatment with tirzepatide in participants with obesity or overweight and prediabetes.

Louis J Aronne, Royce P Vincent, Klara R Klein, Julia Fraseur Brumm, Irina Jouravskaya, Dachuang Cao, Georgios K Dimitriadis, Julia P Dunn

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Obesity pillars, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT04184622. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04184622 phase3completed

Efficacy and Safety of Tirzepatide Once Weekly in Participants Without Type 2 Diabetes Who Have Obesity or Are Overweight With Weight- Related Comorbidities: A Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Trial (SURMOUNT-1)

Ran2019Enrolled2,539Registered outcomes26Posted comparisons49ConditionsObesity, OverweightArmsPlacebo, Tirzepatide
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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Louis J AronneComprehensive Weight Control Center, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, USA.
Royce P VincentKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Klara R KleinUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Julia Fraseur BrummEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, USA.
Irina JouravskayaEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, USA.
Dachuang CaoEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, USA.
Georgios K DimitriadisEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, USA.
Julia P DunnEli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: For adults with obesity, fluctuations in body weight are expected to occur during weight management. Weight nadirs, which can become a point of focus for people living with obesity, are often hard to maintain. This study aimed to investigate the not well-defined clinical relevance of weight nadir, especially during long-term treatment with an obesity medication. Methods: This was a post hoc analysis of the phase 3, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled SURMOUNT-1 3-year clinical trial in participants with obesity or overweight and at least one weight-related complication. The analysis included participants who were tirzepatide-adherent (≥75% of doses received) with obesity, or overweight, and prediabetes at randomization and had ≥5% weight reduction from baseline at time of weight nadir. Weight regain analyses from weight nadir to Week 176 included mean percent change, and participants were grouped as having <5%, 5% to <10%, and ≥10% weight regain. Results: In this post hoc analysis, the mean weight regain from nadir weight to Week 176 was 3.8 kg, 4.4 kg, and 3.7 kg for those treated with tirzepatide 5 mg, 10 mg, and 15 mg, respectively. For the pooled tirzepatide doses, 70% of participants had <5% weight regain, 22% of participants had 5 to <10% weight regain, and 8% of participants had ≥10% weight regain. The median percent of weight reduction maintenance from time of weight nadir to Week 176 was 94.8%, 69.9%, and 44.3%, for <5%, 5-<10%, and ≥10%, respectively. While at baseline 94% of tirzepatide-treated participants had high waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) (>0.59), at week 176 this had reduced to 45%, 59%, and 68% in the <5%, 5% to <10%, and ≥10% weight regain groups, respectively. At Week 176, conversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia occurred in over 90% of tirzepatide-treated participants regardless of weight regain. Conclusion: These findings suggest that most tirzepatide-treated participants with baseline prediabetes in the SURMOUNT-1 3-year study had limited weight regain after reaching weight nadir and sustained improvements in glycemia (SURMOUNT-1 ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04184622.). Clinical relevance: In the current study, 92% of prediabetes participants treated with tirzepatide in the SURMOUNT-1 3-year study had a stable weight journey. Their limited weight regain from weight nadir appears not to be clinically meaningful, as improvements in cardiometabolic risk parameters were largely maintained.

Indexed as

PrediabetesSURMOUNT-1 3-yearTirzepatideWeight nadirWeight regain

Identifiers

PMID42831032
PMCPMC13634289

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.