Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42810815›Full record

Trial reportBMJ global health2026

Wings of access: a cluster RCT on drone-based medical commodity delivery in remote Madagascar.

Katherine Tumlinson, Andry Rabemanantsoa, Sandrah Rahantanirina, Kanto Jude Ramanamahefa, Erica Felker-Kantor, Daniel Crapper, Eunice Kioko, Emilia Goland, Stephanie R Chung, Brooke W Bullington and 2 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMJ global health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Katherine TumlinsonDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Gillings School of Global Public Health, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA ktumlin@email.unc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8314-8219
Andry RabemanantsoaConsultant, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Sandrah RahantanirinaPopulation Services International, Antananarivo, Madagascar.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-6195-4401
Kanto Jude RamanamahefaConsultant, Antananarivo, Madagascar.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-8216-0638
Erica Felker-KantorDivision of Infectious Disease and Global Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, USA.
Daniel CrapperPopulation Services International, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Eunice KiokoInnovations for Poverty Action Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya.
Emilia GolandDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, Gillings School of Global Public Health, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Stephanie R ChungDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Biological Sciences Division, The University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2383-0512
Brooke W BullingtonASCENT Center for Reproductive Health, Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3341-087X
Sean SylviaDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Gillings School of Global Public Health, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Tara TemplinDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Gillings School of Global Public Health, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Research Services CoreP2CHD050924 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI KAREN B GUZZO · 2015 to 2026
$9.6M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD050924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundStockouts of essential medicines remain a persistent challenge across the Global South, undermining healthcare access. Unmanned aerial vehicles or drones have emerged as a promising solution to improve delivery.

methodsWe implemented a two-arm cluster randomised trial in eastern Madagascar. Hard-to-reach public-sector facilities were randomised to drone delivery or standard land-based delivery of medical commodities. Preintervention and postintervention data included audits, provider and client interviews and population-based surveys of reproductive-age women. Our primary outcomes were (1) current modern contraceptive use and (2) the probability of stockouts. Secondary outcomes included aligned and preferred contraceptive use, vaccine and malaria outcomes and perceived quality. For each outcome, we compared intervention and control clusters using analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) regressions. Facilities randomised to drone delivery received continuous service from September 2023 to October 2024; outcomes were measured at baseline (June-August 2023) and endline (October 2024-March 2025).

resultsBetween June and August 2023, 109 facilities were randomised to drone intervention (n=55) or control (n=54). Within the corresponding communities, a representative sample of 1199 reproductive-age women (n=605 treatment, 594 control) completed a baseline survey. In primary ANCOVA analyses, drone delivery had no measurable impact on current modern contraceptive use, stockouts of most commodities, malaria rapid diagnostic test stockouts or most client-reported quality measures. Supporting difference-in-difference analyses suggested possible reductions in malaria rapid diagnostic test stockouts and modest improvements in aligned and preferred contraceptive use, but these findings were not consistently replicated in the primary specification.

conclusionIn this cluster randomised trial, drone delivery did not measurably improve most stockout, service readiness, utilisation or client-reported quality outcomes. These findings suggest that drone delivery alone may be insufficient to improve commodity availability where upstream supply-chain constraints remain binding. Prior estimates of drone impact across a broad range of supplies may have been inflated by methodological limitations. Rigorousstudies in additional settings are needed before further integration of drones into national health systems in the Global South. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: AEARCTR-0011710.

Indexed as

Health Services AccessibilityPharmaceutical PreparationsUnmanned Aerial DevicesAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMadagascarMalariaYoung AdultPharmaceutical PreparationsDelivery of Health CareGlobal HealthHealth Services AccessibilityMalariaRandomised control trial

Identifiers

PMID42810815
PMCPMC13636326

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.