Multi-Channel Postoperative MRI and Deep Transfer Learning to Distinguish Glioblastoma Recurrence from Pseudo-Progression: A Proof-of-Concept Study.

BACKGROUND/

objectivesGlioblastoma surveillance after surgery and chemoradiation remains challenging because MRI findings of tumor recurrence can overlap with pseudo-progression, treatment-related effects, and postoperative tissue changes.

methodsWe developed a seven-channel postoperative MRI framework using a deep learning transfer method to support non-invasive glioblastoma treatment-effect assessment. The model used T1 contrast-enhanced, FLAIR, T1, RSI-Cell, ADC, T2, and cerebral blood flow volumes from 124 postoperative glioblastoma patients (164 MRI timepoints) as input. Images were processed using a 3D ResNet18 encoder pretrained on 588 postoperative glioma samples and fine-tuned using task-specific classification heads. The cohort comprised 124 patients contributing 164 postoperative MRI timepoints, all acquired at 3T on scanners from a single vendor. Performance was evaluated with nested five-fold cross-validation stratified and assigned at the patient level, so that all timepoints from a given patient fell in one-fold and the training epoch was selected on an inner split rather than on the fold being reported. Because some of the clinical labels were incomplete, the number of evaluable timepoints differed by task (recurrence versus pseudo-progression, 164; MGMT, 99; short-term survival, 139). The whole procedure was repeated under three independent random seeds and results are reported as the mean and standard deviation across seeds.

resultsThe strongest clinical endpoint was recurrence versus pseudo-progression, where nested cross-validation across three random seeds gave a pooled out-of-fold AUC of 0.935 (SD = 0.014), area under the precision-recall curve of 0.973, balanced accuracy of 0.880, sensitivity of 0.917, and specificity of 0.843. No other endpoint reached reliable discrimination. Radiation decision reached an AUC of 0.658 (SD = 0.039), while MGMT promoter methylation (AUC = 0.532, SD = 0.082) and short-term survival (AUC = 0.514, SD = 0.027) were indistinguishable from chance.

conclusionsIn this single-center proof-of-concept study, postoperative MRI successfully distinguished tumor recurrence from pseudo-progression. However, the models did not reliably predict the other three outcomes related to molecular status, treatment planning, and prognosis. Overall, the model learned imaging features specifically associated with recurrence, rather than a more general representation of the tumor that can predict many different clinical outcomes. These findings support technical feasibility for a single endpoint rather than clinical readiness, for which external multi-center validation is required.