Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42789295›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2026

Climate-driven host ecology as a framework for zoonotic disease risk: Understanding transferability across arenavirus systems.

Gregory C Milne, Lauren A Attfield, Joachim Mariën, Lucinda Kirkpatrick, Herwig Leirs, Kate E Jones, Christl A Donnelly, David W Redding

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Climate-driven host ecology as a framework for zoonotic disease risk: Understanding transferability across arenavirus systems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Gregory C Milne *Ecosystem Health Lab, Ecosystem Health Lab, Science Department, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9594-3321
Lauren A Attfield *Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, United Kingdom.
Joachim MariënEvolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp 2610, Belgium.
Lucinda KirkpatrickEvolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp 2610, Belgium.
Herwig LeirsEvolutionary Ecology Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp 2610, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7612-5024
Kate E Jones *Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5231-3293
Christl A Donnelly *Department of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3LB, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-0195-2463
David W Redding *Ecosystem Health Lab, Ecosystem Health Lab, Science Department, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8615-1798

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) 2109828UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) 2208034UKRI | Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council (AFRC) BB/X005364UKRI | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/P012345/1Wellcome Trust (WT) 220179/Z/20/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mechanistic frameworks linking climate to zoonotic disease risk through host ecology remain rare, limiting transferable insights across systems. We develop a Bayesian framework combining an integral projection model of rodent demography with a compartmental disease model. Applied to capture-mark-recapture data from the Natal multimammate mouse (

Indexed as

Arenaviridae InfectionsArenavirusClimateLassa FeverZoonosesAnimalsBayes TheoremFemaleHumansLassa virusMurinaeRainSeasonsarenaviruseslassa feverpopulation dynamicsrodent-borne diseasezoonotic disease

Identifiers

PMID42789295
PMCPMC13624649

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.