Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42781062›Full record

ArticleInfection and drug resistance2026

Prediction of Meropenem Target Attainment in Critically Ill Patients Using Routine Clinical Data from a Single Center: A Machine Learning Approach.

Qingliu Lu, Yinglian Wang, Ke Huang, Long Gan, Xiaoyu Chen, Zhongwen Feng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infection and drug resistance, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Qingliu Lu *Department of Pharmacy, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.
Yinglian Wang *Department of Nursing, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.
Ke HuangDepartment of Pharmacy, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.
Long GanDepartment of Pharmacy, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.
Xiaoyu ChenDepartment of Pharmacy, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0006-3740-7455
Zhongwen FengDepartment of Pharmacy, Guangxi Academy of Medical Sciences and the People's Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, Guangxi, 530021, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0007-3854-2939

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Meropenem pharmacokinetics vary considerably among critically ill patients, resulting in uncertainty in target concentration attainment. This study aimed to develop a predictive model using real-world therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) data to assess target attainment and provide a reference for individualized meropenem management. Methods: This single-center retrospective study included critically ill patients administered meropenem treatment and subjected to trough concentration monitoring from August 2023 to January 2026. Meropenem target attainment was defined as a trough concentration (Cmin) exceeding 8.0 mg/L. The analysis included 399 TDM samples from 333 patients, which were partitioned into training and test sets at an 8:2 ratio using a patient-level splitting approach. Following feature selection, eight machine learning algorithms were applied to build prediction models. Predictive performance was assessed primarily by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, and calibration curves used as additional evaluation measures. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis was then used to interpret the final model. Results: Ten features were ultimately selected, including age, CRRT, ECMO, Scr, ALP, PLT, P-LCR, APACHE II score, CrCl, and dose per body weight. In the independent test set, the random forest showed the best performance, with an AUC of 0.873 (95% CI: 0.779-0.946), followed by extreme gradient boosting with an AUC of 0.867 (95% CI: 0.763-0.942) and support vector machine with an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI: 0.771-0.935). SHAP analysis showed that CrCl, APACHE II score, and Scr were the most important predictors. Conclusion: Machine learning models developed using routine clinical variables showed good performance in predicting meropenem target attainment in critically ill patients and may help identify patients at high risk of target non-attainment, providing a reference for individualized meropenem management.

Indexed as

critically ill patientsmachine learningmeropenemtarget attainmenttherapeutic drug monitoring

Identifiers

PMID42781062
PMCPMC13599802

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.