Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42774215›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2026

Experimental evidence of a biological soil crust degradation climate warming amplification feedback.

William K Smith, Miguel L Villarreal, Cara Lauria, Willliam A Rutherford, Stefanie Herrmann, Victoria Scholl, Armin Howell, Mostafa Javadian, Fujiang Ji, Fangyue Zhang and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

William K SmithSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5785-6489
Miguel L VillarrealU.S. Geological Survey, Western Geographic Science Center, Moffett Field, CA USA.
Cara LauriaU.S. Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Moab, UT USA.
Willliam A RutherfordSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.
Stefanie HerrmannArizona Institute for Resilience, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4069-2019
Victoria SchollU.S. Geological Survey, National Uncrewed Systems Office, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Denver, CO USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2085-1449
Armin HowellU.S. Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Moab, UT USA.
Mostafa JavadianSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.
Fujiang JiSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4623-7487
Fangyue ZhangSchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5479-6214
Matthew A BurgessU.S. Geological Survey, National Uncrewed Systems Office, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Denver, CO USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3487-4972
Raymond KokalyU.S. Geological Survey, Geology, Geophysics, Geochemistry Science Center, Denver, CO USA.
Benjamin PoulterSpark Climate Solutions, San Francisco, CA USA.
Sasha C ReedU.S. Geological Survey, Southwest Biological Science Center, Moab, UT USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8597-8619

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Biological soil crusts - photosynthetic communities of cyanobacteria, lichens, and/or mosses living on soil surfaces - represent about 12% of the global land surface, yet their role in climate mitigation remains uncertain. Here we address this knowledge gap by integrating multiscale remote sensing techniques within a unique long-term climate manipulation experiment. Two decades of in situ climate warming and changes in monsoonal rainfall drove a major shift in biocrust community composition, including a ~ 27% decrease in fractional coverage of late-successional mosses and a ~ 36% increase in fractional cover of early-successional, lightly-pigmented cyanobacteria. This community shift, in-turn, resulted in a ~ 6.3% reduction in photosynthetic potential, ~14.1% increase in surface brightness, ~15.2% decrease in surface moisture, and a ~ 1.5% or ~0.3 °C increase in surface temperature under clear sky daytime conditions for every 10% increase in the relative cover of lightly-pigmented cyanobacteria. Our findings are evidence of a biocrust degradation climate warming amplification feedback, whereby climate warming drives biocrust functional degradation and a net reduction in climate mitigation potential, which further drives warming. This apparent warming amplification feedback is currently missing from process-based models, and thus current climate projections might underestimate the rate of climate warming across global drylands.

Indexed as

Climate-change ecologyEcosystem ecology

Identifiers

PMID42774215
PMCPMC13593566

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.