Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42771639›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2026

Performance of machine learning-based prediction models for hypoglycemia in Chinese patients with diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Jinhua Yan, Yanping Song, Yangmei Du, Fanmin Li

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jinhua YanDepartment of General Practice, the People's Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, China.
Yanping SongDepartment of General Practice, the People's Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, China.
Yangmei DuDepartment of General Practice, the People's Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, China.
Fanmin LiDepartment of General Practice, the People's Hospital of Leshan, Leshan, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6309-8121

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to systematically evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning (ML)-based models for predicting hypoglycemia in Chinese patients with diabetes.

methodsWe systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, CINAHL, CNKI, and Wanfang databases from inception to February 2026. Eligible studies focused on the development or validation of ML-based models for predicting hypoglycemia in Chinese patients with diabetes. Study selection and data extraction were performed independently by two reviewers. Information on study characteristics, modeling approaches, predictors, validation methods, and model performance was collected. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was synthesized using a random-effects model. Study quality was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).

resultsA total of 13 studies were included, and the pooled prevalence of hypoglycemia was 25% (95% CI: 17%-33%). The overall pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.93). Subgroup analyses by modeling algorithms showed pooled AUCs of 0.89 for extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), 0.88 for random forest (RF), 0.85 for support vector machine (SVM), 0.84 for Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), 0.83 for logistic regression (LR), and 0.81 for decision tree (DT) models. Common predictors included age, insulin use, body mass index, HbA1c, creatinine, and history of hypoglycemia.

conclusionWe attempted to provide a comprehensive overview of machine learning-based prediction models for hypoglycemia in patients with diabetes. Research in this field remains at an early stage, although several models with good discriminatory performance have been reported. Methodological limitations and insufficient validation were observed in many studies. Concerns regarding model robustness and interpretability also exist. More efforts to develop reliable and interpretable models and to promote their application in clinical practice for early risk identification are needed.

Indexed as

Boosting Machine Learning AlgorithmsDiabetes MellitusHypoglycemiaChinaClassification AlgorithmsEast Asian PeopleHumansPredictive Learning ModelsRandom ForestROC Curve

Identifiers

PMID42771639
PMCPMC13596806

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.