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ArticlePediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany)2026

Is there an interaction between hypertension and proteinuria in pediatric chronic kidney disease progression? Evidence from the SP-CKD-Kids cohort.

Ivan Coelho Machado, Marina Mattiello Gabriele, Liliane Cury Prates, Vera Maria Santoro Belangero, Andreia Watanabe, Inalda Facincani, Ana Lucia Santos Abreu, Maria Luiza Dautro Moreira do Val, Débora Silveira Dias Villar Martins, Paula Ronsse Nussenzveig and 5 more

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Article in Pediatric nephrology (Berlin, Germany), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Ivan Coelho Machado *Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Divisão de Nefrologia Pediátrica, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil. ivancmachado@usp.br.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4810-6643
Marina Mattiello Gabriele *Universidade de São Paulo (USP), Instituto da Criança, Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Liliane Cury PratesUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, Campinas, SP, Brasil.
Vera Maria Santoro BelangeroUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, Campinas, SP, Brasil.
Andreia WatanabeUniversidade de São Paulo (USP), Instituto da Criança, Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Inalda FacincaniUniversidade de São Paulo (USP), Divisão de Nefrologia Pediátrica, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil.
Ana Lucia Santos AbreuUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Maria Luiza Dautro Moreira do ValUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Débora Silveira Dias Villar MartinsUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Paula Ronsse NussenzveigHospital Infantil Darcy Vargas, Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Natália Andréa da CruzHospital Infantil Darcy Vargas, Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Paloma Cals de Albuquerque GagoFaculdade de Ciências Médicas da Santa Casa de São Paulo (FCMSCSP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Mariana Tomaz Silva SanchesFaculdade de Ciências Médicas da Santa Casa de São Paulo (FCMSCSP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Maria Fernanda Carvalho de CamargoHospital Samaritano de São Paulo, Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Paulo Cesar Koch NogueiraUniversidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP), Nefrologia Pediátrica, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.

Funding

PROADI / SUS 25000.180613/2011-11
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHypertension and proteinuria are established risk factors for chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in children. Given their pathophysiological interrelationship, whether their coexistence produces a multiplicative interaction remains uncertain. We evaluated this interaction in a Brazilian pediatric cohort.

methodsThis multicenter prospective cohort (SP-CKD-Kids) included 254 children and adolescents aged 1-17 years at study entry with CKD stages 3-4, followed for a median of 3.2 years. The composite outcome comprised death, initiation of kidney replacement therapy, or > 50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox models were adjusted for age, sex, baseline eGFR, and CKD etiology. Multiplicative interaction was assessed using a hypertension × proteinuria product term, and statistical power was evaluated by simulation.

resultsHypertension was present in 67.3% of participants and proteinuria in 77.1%; 98 participants (38.6%) experienced the composite outcome. After adjustment, hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0-2.8) and proteinuria (HR 3.5; 95% CI 1.7-7.0) remained independently associated with CKD progression. Participants with both conditions had the highest risk compared with those with neither condition (HR 8.4; 95% CI 2.1-34.2). The multiplicative interaction was not statistically significant (HR 0.6; 95% CI 0.1-3.0; p = 0.507), and simulation indicated limited power to detect interaction effects.

conclusionsHypertension and proteinuria were independent predictors of CKD progression in children. Although no statistically significant multiplicative interaction was detected, the wide confidence interval around the interaction term indicates that a clinically relevant interaction cannot be excluded.

Indexed as

Chronic kidney diseaseCKD progressionCohort studiesPediatric CKDPediatric nephrology

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.