Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42768353›Full record

ArticleBMC proceedings2026

Leveraging AI for infectious disease modelling and public health decision making.

Moritz U G Kraemer, Barbara Tornimbene, Samir Bhatt, Serina Chang, Gautam Prasad, Milind Tambe, Houriiyah Tegally, Oliver Morgan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC proceedings, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Moritz U G KraemerDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Barbara TornimbeneWHO Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Hub, Berlin, Germany. tornimbeneb@who.int.
Samir BhattSection of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Serina ChangUniversity of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Gautam PrasadGoogle Research, Mountain View, CA, USA.
Milind TambeHarvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Houriiyah TegallyCentre for Epidemic Response and Innovation (CERI), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.
Oliver MorganWHO Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Hub, Berlin, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) is expanding the capacity of public health systems to detect infectious disease signals, forecast outbreaks, analyse pathogen evolution, generate localised risk estimates, and support operational decisions. The thirteenth session of the WHO Pandemic and Epidemic Intelligence Innovation Forum brought together experts from academic, public health, and technology organisations to examine current applications of AI in infectious disease modelling and pandemic preparedness. Examples included genomic surveillance, hybrid epidemiological and machine-learning models, spatial foundation models, AI-enabled decision support, and agent-based simulations for resource allocation. Participants emphasised that technical performance alone is insufficient: tools must be transparent, auditable, transferable across settings, operationally usable, and responsive to local data and infrastructure constraints. Sustained interdisciplinary collaboration, human oversight, robust validation, and equitable design will be essential to embed AI safely and effectively within public health decision-making.

Indexed as

Artificial intelligenceDecision supportEpidemic intelligenceGenomic surveillanceInfectious disease modellingOutbreak forecastingPublic health preparedness

Identifiers

PMID42768353
PMCPMC13591667

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.