Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42764375›Full record

Observational studyESC heart failure2026

Inflammatory and catabolic activity mediate the association of plasma β-hydroxybutyrate and mortality in heart failure.

Constantin Laurent Palm, Bart J van Essen, Lukas Baumhove, Ridha I S Alnuwaysir, Margery A Connelly, Astrid Petersmann, Annabelle Hoegl, Christian T Madsen, Jan C Refgaard, Karin Conde-Knape and 4 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in ESC heart failure, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Constantin Laurent PalmDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.ORCID 0009-0006-6044-1299
Bart J van EssenDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9057-7449
Lukas BaumhoveDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.
Ridha I S AlnuwaysirDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.
Margery A ConnellyDiagnostics R&D, Labcorp, Morrisville, NC 27560, USA.
Astrid PetersmannInstitute of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, University Medicine Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany.
Annabelle HoeglResearch and Early Development, Novo Nordisk A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Christian T MadsenResearch and Early Development, Novo Nordisk A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jan C RefgaardDevelopment, Novo Nordisk A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Karin Conde-KnapeResearch and Early Development, Novo Nordisk A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Natasha Barascuk-MichaelsenResearch and Early Development, Novo Nordisk A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Chim LangDivision of Cardiovascular Research, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.
Adriaan A VoorsDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5417-4415
Berend Daan WestenbrinkDepartment of Cardiology, University of Groningen and University Medical Center Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, Groningen 9700 RB, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1362-7019

Funding

European Commission EudraCT 2010-020808-29European Commission FP7-242209-BIOSTAT-CHF
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionKetone body levels are elevated in patients with heart failure (HF). Recently, plasma levels of ketone bodies have been associated with mortality in patients with HF. However, little is known about the biological processes active in patients with high levels of ketone bodies. The objective of this study was to investigate the features and prognosis of patients with HF with elevated β-hydroxybutyrate levels. Furthermore, we aimed to determine the specific biological processes that are active in these patients that may result in elevated levels of β-hydroxybutyrate.

methodsβ-hydroxybutyrate concentrations were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in plasma from 478 patients with HF from the BIOSTAT-CHF cohort. In addition, the concentrations of 1057 circulating proteins were measured by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Differential expression and ingenuity pathway analyses were used to investigate which biological processes are associated with high levels of β-hydroxybutyrate. Cox regression was used to investigate the association of β-hydroxybutyrate with mortality and HF hospitalization. Mediation analysis was conducted to determine how much of the association between β-hydroxybutyrate and outcomes is statistically explained by these processes.

resultsThe cohort consisted mostly of male patients (64.2%), with equal proportions of HF with reduced ejection fraction and preserved ejection fraction. Elevated β-hydroxybutyrate levels were independently associated with higher heart rate, lower iron levels, and lower body mass index. Moreover, every doubling of β-hydroxybutyrate was associated with a 36.4% increase in mortality (unadjusted hazard ratio 1.364: 95% confidence interval 1.089-1.707). Even after accounting for known risk factors, the relationship remained highly robust (adjusted hazard ratio 1.389; 95% confidence interval 1.150-1.677). Differential expression and ingenuity pathway analyses revealed that higher β-hydroxybutyrate levels were associated with the upregulation of pathways associated with acute inflammation and cachexia, whereas lipogenic and anabolic pathways were down-regulated. Subsequent multiple mediation analysis showed that 76% of the association between β-hydroxybutyrate and mortality was explained by these pathways.

conclusionsElevated β-hydroxybutyrate levels predict mortality in chronic HF, independent of established risk factors. Proteomic analysis links elevated β-hydroxybutyrate to heightened inflammation and catabolism, and these pathways largely mediated the association between β-hydroxybutyrate and mortality. These findings suggest that elevated ketone bodies may reflect underlying metabolic stress in patients at risk of adverse outcome.

Indexed as

3-Hydroxybutyric AcidHeart FailureInflammationAgedBiomarkersFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMagnetic Resonance SpectroscopyMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSurvival Rate3-Hydroxybutyric AcidBiomarkersAcute inflammationBeta-hydroxybutyrateCatabolismMortalityProteomic profile

Identifiers

PMID42764375
PMCPMC13590230

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.