ArticleFrontiers in public health2026
Mortality trends and influencing factors of mental disorders among urban and rural residents in China between 2009 and 2021: a longitudinal study with projections to 2030.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Introduction: Mental disorders pose a major public health challenge in China, with marked urban-rural disparities in resources and outcomes. However, long-term mortality trends, their influencing factors, and future projections across urban and rural areas remain underexplored. This study aimed to analyze these mortality trends, identify relevant factors, and project mortality to 2030 using national data from 2009 to 2021. Methods: Data were extracted from the Results: From 2009 to 2021, urban crude mortality rates (CMR) remained stable, whereas rural CMR increased significantly (AAPC = 1.21%, Conclusion: This study reveals significant urban-rural disparities in mental disorder mortality, with rural areas experiencing a marked recent increase. Males, the oldest old, and young adults are particularly vulnerable. Population aging showed the strongest association with mortality, and this association persisted after controlling for additional confounders. Scenario projections indicated continued divergence between urban and rural trends. These findings underscore the need for life-course prevention strategies and differentiated resource allocation between urban and rural areas.
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