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ArticlePharmaceutical research2026

Federated Estimation of Population Pharmacokinetic Models with Exact Equivalence to Pooled-Data Analysis.

Yuta Nakamaru, Mizuki Uno, Yiran Song, Kanako So, Tomoko Kita, Fumiyoshi Yamashita

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Article in Pharmaceutical research, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yuta NakamaruDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Mizuki UnoDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Yiran SongDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Kanako SoDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Tomoko KitaDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan.
Fumiyoshi YamashitaDepartment of Quantitative Pharmaceutics, Graduate School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Kyoto University, 46-29 Yoshidashimoadachi-Cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8501, Japan. yama@pharm.kyoto-u.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3503-8696

Funding

Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 23H02650Japan Society for the Promotion of Science 23K17475
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePopulation pharmacokinetic (PopPK) analysis relies on nonlinear mixed-effects modeling of pooled data; however, sharing subject-level data across sites is often restricted. This study develops a federated framework that exactly recovers the global objective function corresponding to centralized pooled-data analysis, thereby yielding identical parameter estimates without sharing subject-level data.

methodsEach site computes its local contributions to the global objective function and corresponding gradients. A central server aggregates these quantities to reconstruct the global objective function and gradient at each parameter value. Performance was evaluated using simulations of a one-compartment oral model under two multi-site scenarios: heterogeneous sparse sampling and between-site heterogeneity in covariate distribution. Federated estimation was compared with centralized pooled-data estimation, independent site-specific estimation, and weighted combination of site-specific estimates and variances. Parameter uncertainty was assessed using bootstrap resampling.

resultsAcross scenarios, federated estimation yielded parameter estimates and bootstrap confidence intervals that closely matched with those from centralized pooled-data estimation for fixed effects, between-subject variability, and residual error. In contrast, independent site-specific estimation showed deviations under certain conditions, and weighted pooling of site-specific estimates did not reproduce centralized variance estimates.

conclusionsThe proposed federated framework enables mathematically equivalent PopPK estimation without sharing subject-level data.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalPharmacokineticsComputer SimulationFederated LearningHumansNonlinear Dynamicsfederated learningnonlinear mixed-effects modelingpharmacometricspopulation pharmacokinetics

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.