Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42753058›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2026

Patterns of Recurrence in Adenocarcinoma of the Esophagogastric Junction: ERECS Trial Post Hoc Analysis.

Stefano de Pascale, Riccardo Rosati, Vincenzo Bagnardi, Carlo Alberto De Pasqual, Giovanni Ferrari, Samuele Frassoni, Simone Giacopuzzi, Monica Gualtierotti, Nicola Leone, Lucia Moletta and 8 more

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Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Stefano de PascaleDigestive Surgery, European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
Riccardo RosatiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Vincenzo BagnardiDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Carlo Alberto De PasqualGeneral and Upper GI Surgery Division, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Borgo Trento, Verona, Italy.
Giovanni FerrariDivision of Minimally Invasive Surgical Oncology, Niguarda Cancer Center, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy.
Samuele FrassoniDepartment of Statistics and Quantitative Methods, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Simone GiacopuzziGeneral and Upper GI Surgery Division, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata, Borgo Trento, Verona, Italy.
Monica GualtierottiDivision of Minimally Invasive Surgical Oncology, Niguarda Cancer Center, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, Milan, Italy.
Nicola LeoneDepartment of Surgical Sciences, General Surgery and Center for Minimally Invasive Surgery, University of Torino, Turin, Italy.
Lucia MolettaDepartment of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, 3rd Surgical Clinic, University of Padova, Padua, Italy.
Giovanni PallabazzerUnit of Esophageal Surgery, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy.
Francesco PuccettiDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Marco Realis LucDigestive Surgery, European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan, Italy. m.realisluc@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-9024-5061
Fabrizio RebecchiDepartment of Surgical Sciences, General Surgery and Center for Minimally Invasive Surgery, University of Torino, Turin, Italy.
Stefano SantiUnit of Esophageal Surgery, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy.
Michele ValmasoniDepartment of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, 3rd Surgical Clinic, University of Padova, Padua, Italy.
Uberto Fumagalli RomarioDigestive Surgery, European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.
SISME–Società Italiana per lo Studio delle Malattie dell’Esofago–Italian Society of Disease of the Esophagus

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAdenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction (AEG) is associated with high recurrence rates despite multimodal therapy. Understanding recurrence patterns and their predictive factors is critical for optimizing risk stratification and guiding therapeutic decision-making.

methodsThis post hoc analysis of the multicenter retrospective ERECS trial included patients who had Siewert type 1 or 2 AEG treated with perioperative chemotherapy (BMT) or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (TMT) followed by Ivor Lewis esophagectomy between January 2018 and December 2022. Uni- and multivariable Fine and Gray regression models identified predictors of recurrence. Overall survival after recurrence (OSAR) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

resultsOf 455 patients, 7.9% experienced local recurrence (LR) and 36.9% had distant recurrence (DR) during a median follow-up period of 29.8 months. Among the DR patients, 56% had single-site (sDR) and 44% multiple-site (mDR) involvement. Lymph nodes, liver, and lungs were the most frequently involved distant sites. In the multivariable analysis, TMT and mucinous histology independently predicted LR, whereas advanced pathologic stage, poor response to neoadjuvant therapy, and perineural invasion were associated with DR. For sDR, OSAR was better than mDR (12-month OSAR: 62% vs. 42%; p = 0.037).

conclusionsDistant recurrence remains the principal driver of treatment failure in locally advanced AEG. Advanced pathologic stage, poor treatment response, and perineural invasion identify patients at high systemic risk who may benefit from intensified systemic therapy. In this study, post-recurrence survival was significantly better for sDR (which does not fully correspond to oligometastatic disease) than for mDR. Prospective validation of a tailored surveillance strategy for high-risk patients is warranted.

Indexed as

Esophagogastric junction adenocarcinomaNeoadjuvant therapyOligometastatic diseasePost-recurrence survivalRecurrence patterns

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.