Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42748356›Full record

ArticleMSMR2026

Mid-season influenza virus genetic characterizations in U.S. Department of War populations, 2025-2026.

William E Gruner, Deanna Muehleman, Vivian S Hogan, Daniel F Ewing, Appavu K Sundaram, Anthony C Fries

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in MSMR, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

William E GrunerDefense Centers for Public Health, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, OH.
Deanna MuehlemanDefense Centers for Public Health, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, OH.
Vivian S HoganDefense Centers for Public Health, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, OH.
Daniel F EwingNaval Medical Research Command, Ft. Detrick, Frederick, MD.
Appavu K SundaramNaval Medical Research Command, Ft. Detrick, Frederick, MD.
Anthony C FriesU.S. Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Dayton, OH.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Continuous monitoring of influenza antigenic drift is vital for vaccine strain selection. This study utilized global Department of War (DOW) surveillance data to evaluate circulating influenza strains and inform the 2026-2027 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine recommendations by the World Health Organization. From September 2025 through February 2026, the Department of Defense Global Respiratory Pathogen Surveillance Program collected and analyzed respiratory specimens from over 100 sentinel sites globally. Influenza-positive samples underwent next-generation sequencing, phylogenetic analysis, and antigenic characterization. Analysis of 1,300 sequences revealed A(H3N2) as the predominant (80.1%) subtype, followed by A(H1N1)pdm09 (10.6%) and B/Victoria (9.3%), with variations between combatant commands. Significant antigenic drift led to the dominance of subclades K, D.3.1/D.3.1.1, and C.3.1, respectively. Testing indicated that the 2025-2026 vaccine components offered reduced protection against these emerging strains. Antigenic cartography confirms that the 2026-2027 vaccine strains provide significantly improved protection against circulating viruses. Antiviral resistance markers for neuraminidase inhibitors such as oseltamivir remain rare, with only 2 identified in A(H1N1)pdm09. These data are critical for maintaining force health protection and assessing vaccine performance within highly mobile DOW populations. Analysis of 2025-2026 influenza season data revealed the predominance of subclades A(H1N1)pdm09 D.3.1/D.3.1.1, A(H3N2) K, and B/Victoria C.3.1. Antigenic cartography employing recent candidate vaccine viruses from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention confirmed that the World Health Organization's strain recommendations for the 2026-2027 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine provide the best protection against these circulating strains.

Indexed as

Influenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza B virusInfluenza, HumanMilitary PersonnelAntigenic Drift and ShiftHumansInfluenza VaccinesPhylogenySeasonsSentinel SurveillanceUnited StatesInfluenza Vaccines20252026A(H1N1)dm09A(H3N2)analysisantigenantigenic driftarmed forcesB/VictoriacladeinfluenzamilitarymutationNorthern HemisphereseasonselectionspecimenstrainsubcladeUnited Statesvaccineviral

Identifiers

PMID42748356
PMCPMC13645439

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.