A transcription factor regulatory atlas for activity inference and perturbation prediction.

Inferring transcription factor (TF) activity from transcriptomes and predicting transcriptome-wide responses to TF perturbations remain challenging, in part because available TF-mRNA resources often face a trade-off between precision and coverage and typically lack signed regulatory information. Here, we present TFActProfiler, a TF-mRNA resource and computational framework that learns signed, quantitative TF-mRNA regulatory coefficients by integrating heterogeneous prior evidence (ChIP-based, motif-based, and curated TF-mRNA annotations) with large-scale bulk and single-cell RNA-seq atlases. TFActProfiler contains 2 606 176 signed TF-mRNA interactions and improves TF activity inference in TF knockdown benchmarks relative to widely used regulon resources while retaining broad TF and target coverage. In addition, because the same learned regulatory coefficients can be used to model downstream transcriptional effects, TFActProfiler enables prediction of transcriptome-wide gene expression responses to TF knockdown without training on task-matched perturbation data. When perturbation datasets are available, TFActProfiler can be further refined to achieve performance comparable to state-of-the-art machine-learning baselines. By providing a direction-aware representation of TF-mRNA regulation for both activity inference and perturbation-response modeling, TFActProfiler supports systematic dissection of gene regulatory programs across diverse cellular contexts.