Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42736360›Full record

ArticleNature methods2026

SPLENDID incorporates continuous genetic ancestry in biobank-scale data to improve polygenic risk prediction across diverse populations.

Tony Chen, Haoyu Zhang, Rahul Mazumder, Xihong Lin

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Article in Nature methods, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Tony ChenDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3269-7629
Haoyu ZhangDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA. haoyu.zhang2@nih.gov.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6423-0444
Rahul MazumderOperations Research and Statistics Group, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA. rahulmaz@mit.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1384-9743
Xihong LinDepartment of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA. xihong_lin@harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7067-7752

Funding

Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, Inc.) R01-HL163560Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, Inc.) R35-3 CA197449Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, Inc.) T32GM135117Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, Inc.) U01-HG009088Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (Foundation for the National Institutes of Health, Inc.) U01-HG012064National Science Foundation (NSF) DGE-2140743United States Department of Defense | United States Navy | Office of Naval Research (ONR) N000142112841United States Department of Defense | United States Navy | Office of Naval Research (ONR) N000142212665
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores are widely used in disease risk stratification, but their accuracy varies across different ancestries. Recent methods leverage multi-ancestry data to improve accuracy in under-represented populations but require the labeling of individuals by ancestry. This poses practical challenges, given that clinical decisions are typically not based on ancestry, and many individuals may not fit into a pre-specified ancestry group. Here we propose SPLENDID, a penalized regression framework for large-scale individual-level data that models genetic ancestry as a continuum to produce a single prediction model without any ancestry labels. In extensive simulations and analyses in the All of Us Research Program (n = 224,364) and UK Biobank (n = 340,140), we show that SPLENDID significantly improved prediction accuracy over existing methods, particularly for non-European and admixed ancestries. SPLENDID stands as a valuable tool for robust risk prediction across diverse populations, reduced health disparities in genetic research, and fairer clinical implementation.

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.