Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42721078›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2026

A refined phylochronology of the second plague pandemic in Western Eurasia.

Marcel Keller, Meriam Guellil, Philip Slavin, Lehti Saag, Kadri Irdt, Helja Kabral, Anu Solnik, Martin Malve, Heiki Valk, Aivar Kriiska and 15 more

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A refined phylochronology of the second plague pandemic in Western Eurasia.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Emergence, global dispersal, and local adaptations ofApplied and environmental microbiology · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Marcel KellerEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0001-9668-6817
Meriam GuellilEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-7235-4604
Philip SlavinDivision of History, Heritage and Politics, University of Stirling, Stirling FK9 4LA, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6460-145X
Lehti SaagEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-2274-8138
Kadri IrdtEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.
Helja KabralEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0009-0003-6068-0650
Anu SolnikCore Facility of Genomics, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0009-0009-5615-5726
Martin MalveInstitute of History and Archaeology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51005, Estonia.
Heiki ValkInstitute of History and Archaeology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51005, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0003-4059-896X
Aivar KriiskaInstitute of History and Archaeology, University of Tartu, Tartu 51005, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-0900-7626
Craig CessfordMcDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3ER, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7291-7828
Sarah A InskipMcDonald Institute for Archaeological Research, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3ER, United Kingdom.
John E RobbDepartment of Archaeology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3DZ, United Kingdom.
Christine CooperDepartment of Physical Anthropology, Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Bern, Bern 3008, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7904-808X
Conradin von PlantaInstitut für Kulturforschung Graubünden, Chur 7000, Switzerland.
Mathias SeifertArchaeological Service of the Canton of Grisons, Chur 7001, Switzerland.
Thomas ReitmaierArchaeological Service of the Canton of Grisons, Chur 7001, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3810-5839
Willem A BaetsenSchool of Archaeology and Ancient History, University of Leicester, Leicester LE1 7RH, United Kingdom.ORCID 0009-0007-8708-7928
Don WalkerMuseum of London Archaeology, London N1 7ED, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1230-6069
Sandra LöschDepartment of Physical Anthropology, Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Bern, Bern 3008, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3442-9764
Sönke SzidatDepartment of Chemistry, Biochemistry and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Bern, Bern 3012, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1824-6207
Mait MetspaluEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0003-3099-9161
Toomas KivisildEstonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-6297-7808
Kristiina Tambets *Estonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.ORCID 0000-0002-8173-6380
Christiana L Scheib *Estonian Biocentre, Institute of Genomics, University of Tartu, Tartu 51010, Estonia.

Funding

EC | European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) 2014- 2020.4.01.15-0012EC | European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) 2014-2020.4.01.16-0030Eesti Teadusagentuur (ETAG) PRG1027Eesti Teadusagentuur (ETAG) PRG1931Haridus- ja Teadusministeerium (HM) TK215Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (WT) 200368/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The origin and spread of consecutive outbreaks of the second plague pandemic in Europe (14th to 18th c.) are still poorly understood, although over one hundred ancient

Indexed as

PandemicsPlagueYersinia pestisEuropeGenome, BacterialHistory, 15th CenturyHistory, 16th CenturyHistory, 17th CenturyHumansPhylogenyPhylogeographyRadiometric Datingancient pathogen genomicspalaeogeneticsradiocarbon datingYersinia pestis

Identifiers

PMID42721078
PMCPMC13578943

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.