ArticleEpidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil2026
Temporal trend of sexual violence: time series analysis, Brazil, 2016-2022.
Article in Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Objective: To analyze the temporal trend of sexual violence in Brazil between 2016 and 2022. Methods: Time series study using reported cases of sexual violence between 2016 and 2022 from the Notifiable Diseases Information System (SINAN). The annual percent change (APC) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval were calculated using the Prais-Winsten generalized linear regression model. Results: A total of 299,962 cases of sexual violence were reported. An increasing trend was also observed at the national level (APC 8.13; 95%CI 3.38; 13.12; p-value 0.007) and in all geographic regions of Brazil: Central-West (APC 8.56; 95%CI 3.33; 14.07; p-value 0.008); Northeast (APC 10.61; 95%CI 6.60; 14.78; p-value 0.001); North (APC 5.06; 95%CI 1.09; 9.19; p-value 0.022); Southeast (APC 8.72; 95%CI 3.38; 14.36; p-value 0.008); and South (APC 7.01; 95%CI 0.41; 14.05; p-value 0.041). Regarding age group, sex, race/skin color, and education level of the victim, only four variables showed a stationary trend: age: ignored/blank (APC 25.90; 95%CI -34.38; 141.59; p-value 0.405), sex: male (APC 5.54; 95%CI -0.43; 11.88; p-value 0.063), race/skin color ignored/blank (APC -1.99; 95%CI -4.91; 1.01; p-value 0.147), and education level: illiterate (APC 1.68; 95%CI -2.81; 5.71; p-value 0.318). All other variables showed an increasing trend. Conclusion: The trend of sexual violence in Brazil remained upward, with a wide geographic and sociodemographic distribution.
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