Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42705859›Full record

Observational studyRMD open2026

Incidence, baseline-associated factors and burden of difficult-to-manage axial spondyloarthritis: a 10-year analysis of the DESIR cohort.

Olivier Fakih, Anna Moltó, Frank Verhoeven, Clément Prati, Daniel Wendling

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in RMD open, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01648907 (French Cohort on Outcome of Recent Undifferentiated Spondyloarthritis), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01648907 completednot on this map

French Cohort on Outcome of Recent Undifferentiated Spondyloarthritis

TypeobservationalSponsorAssistance Publique - Hôpitaux de ParisRan2007 to 2022Enrolled708ConditionsEARLY UNDIFFERENTIATED SPONDYLARTHROPATHIESArmsImaging exams
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Olivier FakihUniversité Marie et Louis Pasteur, Service de rhumatologie, CHU de Besançon, Besançon, France ofakih@chu-besancon.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5026-7905
Anna MoltóINSERM, INRAE, Centre for Research in Epidemiology and Statistics, Université Paris Cité and Université Sorbonne Paris Nord, Paris, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2246-1986
Frank VerhoevenUniversité Marie et Louis Pasteur, Service de rhumatologie, CHU de Besançon, Besançon, France.
Clément PratiUniversité Marie et Louis Pasteur, Service de rhumatologie, CHU de Besançon, Besançon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4682-4489
Daniel WendlingUniversité Marie et Louis Pasteur, Service de rhumatologie, CHU de Besançon, Besançon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4687-5780

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine the cumulative incidence of difficult-to-manage axial spondyloarthritis (D2M-axSpA) and treatment-refractory axSpA (TR-axSpA) in a recent-onset axSpA inception cohort, identify baseline factors and characterise long-term outcomes.

methodsPatients from the French prospective DESIR (DEvenir des Spondyloarthrites Indifférenciées Récentes) cohort fulfilling the Assessment of Spondyloarthritis International Society (ASAS) 2009 criteria for axSpA and exposed to ≥1 biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD) were included. Patients with D2M-axSpA and TR-axSpA were classified according to both the ASAS definition and an extended definition adapted to historical treatment availability (failure of ≥3 b/targeted synthetic DMARDs regardless of mechanism of action). Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify baseline factors associated with D2M-axSpA. Clinical, imaging and socio-economic outcomes were analysed over up to 10 years of follow-up.

resultsAmong 177 patients exposed to ≥1 bDMARD, the cumulative incidence of D2M-axSpA was 6.8% (95% CI 2.4 to 11.0) and 14.4% (95% CI 8.3 to 20.2) using the ASAS and extended definitions, respectively, while TR-axSpA remained rare (0.7% and 3.7%, respectively). Female sex and higher baseline disease activity were associated with the development of D2M-axSpA (extended definition). During follow-up, patients with D2M-axSpA according to the extended definition had a higher prevalence of fibromyalgia (60% vs 22.9%), greater healthcare resource utilisation (cumulative number of medical visits 110 vs 60) and opioid use (100% vs 72%).

conclusionIn this recent-onset axSpA inception cohort with long-term follow-up, D2M-axSpA was rare, rarely associated with true treatment refractoriness or structural progression and was accompanied by a persistent disease burden carrying a substantial socio-economic impact, highlighting the need for a broader, patient-centred approach to its management. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01648907.

Indexed as

Antirheumatic AgentsAxial SpondyloarthritisAdultCost of IllnessFemaleFranceHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk FactorsAntirheumatic AgentsAnalgesicsAxial SpondyloarthritisIncidence

Identifiers

PMID42705859
PMCPMC13560959

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.