ArticleNature communications2026
Select earthquake forecasting models demonstrate consistency with prospective decadal observations in California.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
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Abstract
Earthquake forecasting systems are now operationalized by agencies in several countries, providing situational awareness to at-risk communities. To ensure that forecasts follow the best science available, the underlying models require rigorous testing against prospective data and benchmarking. Between August 2007 and August 2018, 27 forecasting models, including the types used for operational earthquake forecasting, were prospectively operated as part of a multi-institutional project by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability, generating 51,625 next-day M
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.