ArticlePrion2026
Monte Carlo simulation of testing requirements for chronic wasting disease (CWD) surveillance via hunter-harvest in Illinois, USA.
Article in Prion, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Managing chronic wasting disease (CWD) - a fatal, transmissible prion disease of cervids - has many challenges, such as determining the number of cervids to test to accurately estimate true prevalence with apparent prevalence. Options range from basic equations to complex techniques like agent-based modelling, but the former does not account for parameter uncertainty, and more detailed models may be less accessible for managers. Our study used Monte Carlo simulation to create a reference table showing the number of hunter-harvested deer to test to approximate herd true prevalence with a ± 2% margin of error and 95% confidence. A three-step process was simulated in which deer from the
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